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High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings
AUM
$892M
Turnover
12.82%
1-Year Est. Return
11.11%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.42%
1 Year Est. Return
+11.11%
3 Year Est. Return
+52.63%
5 Year Est. Return
+42.84%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$892M
AUM Growth
-$42.9M
(-4.6%)
Cap. Flow
-$28.6M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
-3.21%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
68.29%
Holding
78
New
3
Increased
30
Reduced
4
Closed
7
Avg Time Held
3.3
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
3.2
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
4.4
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
|
+$5.81M |
| 2 |
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
|
+$4.73M |
| 3 |
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
|
+$3.38M |
| 4 |
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
|
+$3.07M |
| 5 |
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
|
+$2.94M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares
DUHP
|
+$67.2M |
| 2 |
Coherent
COHR
|
+$266K |
| 3 |
Credo Technology Group
CRDO
|
+$243K |
| 4 |
ASML
ASML
|
+$215K |
| 5 |
Applied Materials
AMAT
|
+$209K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miscellaneous | 98.93% |
| 2 | Technology | 0.5% |
| 3 | Industrials | 0.14% |
| 4 | Financials | 0.12% |
| 5 | Communication Services | 0.11% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.2B
| $125M | 13.98% |
859,665
+32,648
| +4% | +$4.73M |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
|
2
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$18.7B
| $105M | 11.79% |
331,536
+9,513
| +3% | +$2.94M |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
|
3
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
$42.3B
| $64.1M | 7.19% |
926,100
+44,616
| +5% | +$3.07M |
2024 Q3
8 quarters
|
|
|
4
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.67B
| $53.9M | 6.04% |
1,066,801
+110,658
| +12% | +$5.81M |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
5
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.91B
| $50.9M | 5.71% |
1,111,089
+47,406
| +4% | +$2.23M |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
6
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.49B
| $46.1M | 5.17% |
1,369,650
+62,047
| +5% | +$2.15M |
2022 Q2
17 quarters
|
|
7
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$15.6B
| $43.9M | 4.92% |
1,839,651
+80,783
| +5% | +$1.94M |
2022 Q1
18 quarters
|
|
8
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.9B
| $42.6M | 4.77% |
436,792
+19,623
| +5% | +$1.94M |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
|
9
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
$13.6B
| $40.6M | 4.55% |
1,713,565
+139,217
| +9% | +$3.38M |
2024 Q3
8 quarters
|
|
10
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.38B
| $37.2M | 4.17% |
460,446
+16,781
| +4% | +$1.36M |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
11
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
$31B
| $36M | 4.04% |
305,991
+10,426
| +4% | +$1.3M |
2024 Q1
10 quarters
|
|
12
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.3B
| $31.7M | 3.55% |
981,970
+42,870
| +5% | +$1.41M |
2022 Q1
18 quarters
|
|
13
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.44B
| $29.6M | 3.32% |
355,494
+13,744
| +4% | +$1.15M |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
14
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$27.1B
| $28.3M | 3.17% |
300,928
+11,087
| +4% | +$1.03M |
2022 Q1
18 quarters
|
|
15
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.6B
| $24.6M | 2.76% |
597,162
+28,574
| +5% | +$1.2M |
2022 Q1
18 quarters
|
|
16
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.9B
| $21.7M | 2.44% |
197,213
+7,890
| +4% | +$892K |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
17
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.45B
| $16.8M | 1.88% |
391,131
+10,249
| +3% | +$446K |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
18
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3.06B
| $15.9M | 1.78% |
318,564
+12,530
| +4% | +$628K |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
19
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.03B
| $14.9M | 1.67% |
173,981
+4,752
| +3% | +$427K |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
20
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$11.4B
| $11.6M | 1.3% |
487,111
+32,725
| +7% | +$823K |
2022 Q1
18 quarters
|
|
21
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$819B
| $9.7M | 1.09% |
12,724
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
22
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
$183B
| $5.56M | 0.62% |
61,971
+3,233
| +6% | +$289K |
2023 Q3
12 quarters
|
|
23
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$50.4B
| $4.58M | 0.51% |
96,751
+873
| +0.9% | +$43K |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
24
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$20.4B
| $2.24M | 0.25% |
5,180
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
25
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.8B
| $2.07M | 0.23% |
21,762
+1,053
| +5% | +$101K |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
Similar funds
High Probability Advisors's Q3 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2026, High Probability Advisors held 78 positions worth $892M, down 4.6% from $935M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 68% of the portfolio.
High Probability Advisors withdrew a net $28.6M in Q3 2026, closing 7 positions and reducing 4 holdings. Its most notable exit was U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares, an estimated $67.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Miscellaneous at 99% of assets, down from 99% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.
Against the trend, High Probability Advisors opened a new position in Dell worth $249K.
- High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2026 buy was Dell: 463 shares worth $249K.
- High Probability Advisors added most to iShares New York Muni Bond ETF in Q3 2026, an estimated $5.81M increase.
- High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2026 reduction was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF, cutting an estimated $120K.
- High Probability Advisors fully exited U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares in Q3 2026, selling an estimated $67.2M.
- High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 68% of its $892M portfolio in Q3 2026.
- High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 7 in Q3 2026.
- High Probability Advisors's portfolio value fell 4.6% quarter-over-quarter to $892M.
Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2026, filed 19 Oct 2026.