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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.13%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$600M
AUM Growth
+$41.8M
Cap. Flow
+$44M
Cap. Flow %
7.33%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.99%
Holding
56
New
1
Increased
25
Reduced
11
Closed
1

Top Buys

1
SCHR
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
+$18.5M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$11.1M
3
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$3.52M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$2.15M
5
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$1.99M

Top Sells

1
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$1.71M
2
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$1.36M
3
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.13M
4
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$810K
5
FNDC icon
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
+$532K

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 0.48%
2 Technology 0.26%
3 Industrials 0.13%
4 Financials 0.06%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$81.9M 13.66%
744,020
+11,662
+2% +$1.35M
MTUM icon
2
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$59.9M 10%
296,479
+9,317
+3% +$1.99M
DUHP icon
3
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$43.7M 7.29%
1,319,794
+62,616
+5% +$2.15M
GSIE icon
4
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$35.7M 5.95%
1,000,164
-31,890
-3% -$1.13M
NYF icon
5
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$33.5M 5.59%
636,133
+208,265
+49% +$11.1M
DIHP icon
6
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$33.1M 5.52%
1,229,342
-50,778
-4% -$1.36M
USMV icon
7
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$32.7M 5.45%
349,019
+8,639
+3% +$795K
SCHO icon
8
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$30.4M 5.07%
1,247,756
+145,429
+13% +$3.52M
SCHR
9
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
$13.3B
$28.2M 4.71%
1,135,878
+753,646
+197% +$18.5M
FVAL icon
10
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$22.5M 3.75%
377,788
+13,970
+4% +$869K
SPIB icon
11
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$21.8M 3.64%
657,009
+35,132
+6% +$1.16M
AVUV icon
12
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
$29.4B
$21.1M 3.52%
241,876
+16,508
+7% +$1.55M
DYNF icon
13
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
$37.8B
$19.2M 3.2%
393,284
+17,846
+5% +$917K
FQAL icon
14
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$18M 3%
280,726
+7,489
+3% +$497K
AVEM icon
15
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$17.7M 2.94%
293,442
-28,496
-9% -$1.71M
SHYG icon
16
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$16.6M 2.77%
391,200
+22,367
+6% +$960K
IUSV icon
17
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$13.7M 2.29%
148,491
+7,102
+5% +$667K
IVLU icon
18
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$12.3M 2.05%
406,171
-27,790
-6% -$810K
FNDC icon
19
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$10.9M 1.82%
302,187
-14,918
-5% -$532K
SPTL icon
20
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$8.79M 1.47%
322,481
+37,200
+13% +$991K
GSSC icon
21
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$8.25M 1.38%
130,098
+6,153
+5% +$419K
VTEB icon
22
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$3.86M 0.64%
77,727
+36,482
+88% +$1.83M
SPYM
23
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
$157B
$3.58M 0.6%
54,483
+5,750
+12% +$398K
REZ icon
24
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$1.98M 0.33%
22,937
+4,129
+22% +$344K
IWV icon
25
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$1.65M 0.27%
5,180
– –
1
2 3

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, High Probability Advisors held 56 positions worth $600M, up 7.5% from $558M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $44M of net new capital in Q1 2025, opening 1 new position and adding to 25 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF: 2,468 shares worth $283K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.48% of assets, down from 0.51% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF, an estimated $1.71M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2025 buy was iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF: 2,468 shares worth $283K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF in Q1 2025, an estimated $18.5M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF, cutting an estimated $1.71M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Alphabet (Google) Class A in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $261K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $600M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 1 new position and closed 1 in Q1 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $600M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 16 Apr 2025.