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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+8.56%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$365M
AUM Growth
+$45.8M
Cap. Flow
+$20.3M
Cap. Flow %
5.55%
Top 10 Hldgs %
68.24%
Holding
45
New
3
Increased
25
Reduced
8
Closed
1

Top Buys

1
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$10.4M
2
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$7.68M
3
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$4.26M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$1.71M
5
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.13M

Top Sells

1
DEEF icon
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
+$4.64M
2
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$1.09M
3
SHYG icon
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
+$1.05M
4
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$949K
5
IUSV icon
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
+$367K

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 1.21%
2 Technology 0.21%
3 Consumer Discretionary 0.06%
4 Financials 0.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$56.1M 15.36%
736,774
+4,889
+0.7% +$374K
DUHP icon
2
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$27.1M 7.41%
1,127,475
+72,022
+7% +$1.71M
GSIE icon
3
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$26M 7.12%
903,953
+41,017
+5% +$1.13M
DIHP icon
4
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$24.5M 6.72%
1,113,164
+486,406
+78% +$10.4M
MTUM icon
5
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$22.4M 6.15%
153,819
+52,923
+52% +$7.68M
SCHO icon
6
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$20.8M 5.69%
862,050
-14,808
-2% -$357K
USMV icon
7
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$20.5M 5.61%
284,192
+4,399
+2% +$313K
FVAL icon
8
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$18.2M 4.99%
415,655
+5,361
+1% +$236K
IEI icon
9
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$17.5M 4.8%
152,481
-2,914
-2% -$334K
SPIB icon
10
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$16.1M 4.39%
504,268
-10,547
-2% -$334K
SLYV icon
11
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
$4.92B
$13.4M 3.66%
180,323
+786
+0.4% +$59K
NYF icon
12
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$13.3M 3.64%
253,492
-18,395
-7% -$949K
AVEM icon
13
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$12.9M 3.54%
256,369
+87,174
+52% +$4.26M
SHYG icon
14
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$12.6M 3.46%
308,859
-25,688
-8% -$1.05M
IUSV icon
15
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$11.2M 3.05%
157,936
-5,275
-3% -$367K
IVLU icon
16
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$8.93M 2.44%
385,205
-49,215
-11% -$1.09M
FNDC icon
17
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$7.75M 2.12%
247,947
+4,428
+2% +$132K
FQAL icon
18
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$6.7M 1.83%
150,811
+1,720
+1% +$76.7K
GSSC icon
19
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$5.18M 1.42%
94,776
+1,350
+1% +$74.7K
SPTL icon
20
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$3.89M 1.06%
133,962
+6,267
+5% +$183K
VTEB icon
21
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$3.12M 0.85%
63,080
+6,558
+12% +$321K
BNL icon
22
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$3.08M 0.84%
189,780
– –
IWV icon
23
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$2.49M 0.68%
11,278
+4,909
+77% +$1.09M
REZ icon
24
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$1.83M 0.5%
26,717
+1,666
+7% +$117K
SPY icon
25
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.54M 0.42%
4,014
+140
+4% +$53.8K
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2022 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2022, High Probability Advisors held 45 positions worth $365M, up 14% from $319M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 68% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $20.3M of net new capital in Q4 2022, opening 3 new positions and adding to 25 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 3,836 shares worth $382K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 1.2% of assets, down from 1.4% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Consumer Discretionary.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF, an estimated $1.09M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q4 2022 buy was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 3,836 shares worth $382K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Dimensional International High Profitability ETF in Q4 2022, an estimated $10.4M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2022 reduction was iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF, cutting an estimated $1.09M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF in Q4 2022, selling an estimated $4.64M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 68% of its $365M portfolio in Q4 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 1 in Q4 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 14% quarter-over-quarter to $365M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2022, filed 14 Nov 2024.