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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+9.14%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$496M
AUM Growth
+$31.7M
Cap. Flow
-$9.54M
Cap. Flow %
-1.93%
Top 10 Hldgs %
68.7%
Holding
54
New
3
Increased
12
Reduced
26
Closed
–

Top Buys

1
GVI icon
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
+$2.16M
2
VGIT icon
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
VGIT
+$1.7M
3
HIG icon
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
+$207K
4
SUB icon
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
+$200K
5
SCHA icon
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
+$186K

Top Sells

1
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.64M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$1.91M
3
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$1.4M
4
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$1.16M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$1.09M

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 0.89%
2 Technology 0.29%
3 Industrials 0.13%
4 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
5 Healthcare 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$80.6M 16.26%
858,857
-30,030
-3% -$2.64M
DUHP icon
2
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$38.2M 7.7%
1,333,669
-52,389
-4% -$1.4M
GSIE icon
3
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$35.7M 7.2%
1,092,694
+3,340
+0.3% +$102K
DIHP icon
4
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$34.4M 6.94%
1,340,332
-25,191
-2% -$602K
MTUM icon
5
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$30.9M 6.24%
197,223
-2,299
-1% -$337K
USMV icon
6
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$27.2M 5.49%
348,574
-3,383
-1% -$252K
FVAL icon
7
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$26M 5.25%
491,267
-14,151
-3% -$700K
SCHO icon
8
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$24.6M 4.96%
1,015,190
-43,410
-4% -$1.04M
IEI icon
9
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$24.2M 4.89%
206,792
-10,194
-5% -$1.16M
SLYV icon
10
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
$4.92B
$18.7M 3.77%
224,204
+1,749
+0.8% +$129K
AVEM icon
11
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$17.5M 3.54%
310,866
-1,598
-0.5% -$86K
NYF icon
12
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$16.9M 3.4%
311,607
-36,636
-11% -$1.91M
SPIB icon
13
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$16.8M 3.39%
511,359
-34,454
-6% -$1.09M
IUSV icon
14
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$15.5M 3.12%
183,398
-4,544
-2% -$354K
SHYG icon
15
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$13.9M 2.81%
329,581
-22,525
-6% -$929K
IVLU icon
16
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$11.4M 2.31%
431,338
-11,120
-3% -$283K
FQAL icon
17
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$10.4M 2.1%
191,436
-2,831
-1% -$145K
FNDC icon
18
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$10.3M 2.07%
294,312
+1,225
+0.4% +$39.8K
GSSC icon
19
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$7.31M 1.48%
115,838
-1,177
-1% -$66.8K
SPTL icon
20
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$4.37M 0.88%
150,636
-1,957
-1% -$52.1K
VTEB icon
21
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$3.73M 0.75%
73,098
-6,534
-8% -$320K
BNL icon
22
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$3.06M 0.62%
177,802
– –
GVI icon
23
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$3.01M 0.61%
28,716
+21,142
+279% +$2.16M
VGIT icon
24
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
VGIT
$41.9B
$2.23M 0.45%
37,578
+29,490
+365% +$1.7M
SPYM
25
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
$157B
$2.01M 0.41%
35,954
+2,437
+7% +$128K
1
2 3

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2023, High Probability Advisors held 54 positions worth $496M, up 6.8% from $464M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 69% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors's Q4 2023 filing shows 3 new, 12 increased and 26 reduced positions. Its largest new stake was Hartford Financial Services: 2,750 shares worth $221K. The largest sale was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF, an estimated $2.64M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.89% of assets, up from 0.81% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q4 2023 buy was Hartford Financial Services: 2,750 shares worth $221K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF in Q4 2023, an estimated $2.16M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF, cutting an estimated $2.64M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 69% of its $496M portfolio in Q4 2023.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 0 in Q4 2023.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 6.8% quarter-over-quarter to $496M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Nov 2024.