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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-6.23%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$319M
AUM Growth
+$3.72M
Cap. Flow
+$25.9M
Cap. Flow %
8.12%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.65%
Holding
46
New
2
Increased
29
Reduced
5
Closed
4

Top Buys

1
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$3.95M
2
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$3.61M
3
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.16M
4
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.79M
5
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$1.69M

Top Sells

1
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$1.5M
2
DEEF icon
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
+$1.38M
3
FLRN icon
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
+$594K
4
UNH icon
UnitedHealth
UNH
+$342K
5
VGSH icon
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
VGSH
+$299K

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 1.37%
2 Technology 0.22%
3 Healthcare 0%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$52M 16.27%
731,885
+27,469
+4% +$2.16M
DUHP icon
2
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$22.5M 7.05%
1,055,453
+152,415
+17% +$3.61M
GSIE icon
3
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$21.4M 6.69%
862,936
+64,383
+8% +$1.79M
SCHO icon
4
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$21.2M 6.62%
876,858
+68,968
+9% +$1.69M
USMV icon
5
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$18.5M 5.79%
279,793
+12,042
+4% +$868K
IEI icon
6
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$17.8M 5.56%
155,395
+14,219
+10% +$1.68M
FVAL icon
7
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$16.4M 5.14%
410,294
+19,524
+5% +$872K
SPIB icon
8
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$16.1M 5.05%
514,815
+38,493
+8% +$1.25M
NYF icon
9
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$13.8M 4.31%
271,887
+31,981
+13% +$1.68M
SHYG icon
10
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$13.4M 4.18%
334,547
+20,647
+7% +$854K
MTUM icon
11
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$13.2M 4.14%
100,896
+11,155
+12% +$1.56M
SLYV icon
12
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
$4.92B
$12.1M 3.77%
179,537
+10,073
+6% +$758K
DIHP icon
13
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$12M 3.74%
626,758
+184,657
+42% +$3.95M
IUSV icon
14
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$10.2M 3.2%
163,211
+4,894
+3% +$338K
IVLU icon
15
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$8.58M 2.69%
434,420
+55,986
+15% +$1.22M
AVEM icon
16
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$7.77M 2.43%
169,195
+22,655
+15% +$1.15M
FNDC icon
17
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$6.62M 2.07%
243,519
+26,038
+12% +$792K
FQAL icon
18
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$6.19M 1.94%
149,091
+6,766
+5% +$313K
GSSC icon
19
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$4.72M 1.48%
93,426
+5,770
+7% +$322K
DEEF icon
20
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
$54.6M
$4.64M 1.45%
207,677
-54,534
-21% -$1.38M
SPTL icon
21
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$3.78M 1.18%
127,695
+12,161
+11% +$395K
BNL icon
22
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$2.95M 0.92%
189,780
-74,199
-28% -$1.5M
VTEB icon
23
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$2.72M 0.85%
56,522
+18,884
+50% +$944K
REZ icon
24
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$1.8M 0.56%
25,051
-3,239
-11% -$265K
SPY icon
25
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.38M 0.43%
3,874
+565
+17% +$224K
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2022 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2022, High Probability Advisors held 46 positions worth $319M, up 1.2% from $316M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $25.9M of net new capital in Q3 2022, opening 2 new positions and adding to 29 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF: 11,307 shares worth $452K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 1.4% of assets, down from 2% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Healthcare.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Broadstone Net Lease, an estimated $1.5M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2022 buy was iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF: 11,307 shares worth $452K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Dimensional International High Profitability ETF in Q3 2022, an estimated $3.95M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2022 reduction was Broadstone Net Lease, cutting an estimated $1.5M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited UnitedHealth in Q3 2022, selling an estimated $342K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $319M portfolio in Q3 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 2 new positions and closed 4 in Q3 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 1.2% quarter-over-quarter to $319M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2022, filed 14 Nov 2024.