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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+5.54%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$190M
AUM Growth
+$26.2M
Cap. Flow
+$17M
Cap. Flow %
8.96%
Top 10 Hldgs %
79.68%
Holding
37
New
4
Increased
22
Reduced
2
Closed
3

Top Buys

1
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$4.29M
2
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$4.05M
3
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$2.62M
4
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$1.22M
5
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.18M

Top Sells

1
VGSH icon
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
VGSH
+$1.31M
2
DEUS icon
Xtrackers Russell US Multifactor ETF
DEUS
+$496K
3
ACWI icon
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
+$390K
4
TLT icon
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT
+$223K
5
TLH icon
iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLH
+$218K

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 2.2%
2 Technology 0.32%
3 Consumer Discretionary 0.11%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$46.2M 24.39%
584,540
+55,273
+10% +$4.29M
GSIE icon
2
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$18.3M 9.66%
554,186
+35,897
+7% +$1.18M
IEI icon
3
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$18M 9.51%
138,770
+19,889
+17% +$2.62M
FVAL icon
4
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$14.7M 7.75%
328,062
+16,555
+5% +$707K
USMV icon
5
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$14M 7.39%
202,493
+7,907
+4% +$535K
SLYV icon
6
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
$4.92B
$11.8M 6.23%
144,081
+525
+0.4% +$40.5K
IUSV icon
7
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$9.02M 4.76%
130,935
+12,891
+11% +$846K
DEEF icon
8
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
$54.6M
$7.38M 3.89%
237,396
+16,270
+7% +$501K
NYF icon
9
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$5.89M 3.11%
102,101
+21,044
+26% +$1.22M
FNDC icon
10
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$5.69M 3%
151,956
+4,094
+3% +$150K
FNDE icon
11
Schwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Large Company Index ETF
FNDE
$9.37B
$5.69M 3%
184,951
+4,829
+3% +$145K
MTUM icon
12
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$5.17M 2.73%
32,143
+1,000
+3% +$165K
FLRN icon
13
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
$3.07B
$4.5M 2.37%
146,823
+11,437
+8% +$350K
BNL icon
14
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$4.01M 2.12%
+219,364
New +$4.05M
GSSC icon
15
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$3.88M 2.04%
62,143
+3,005
+5% +$183K
IVLU icon
16
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$3.86M 2.03%
152,477
+18,200
+14% +$444K
FQAL icon
17
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$3.71M 1.96%
81,879
+10,428
+15% +$460K
SPY icon
18
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$980K 0.52%
2,472
+458
+23% +$177K
VTEB icon
19
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$965K 0.51%
17,658
+13,810
+359% +$759K
IWD icon
20
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$917K 0.48%
6,050
– –
IWM icon
21
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$630K 0.33%
2,850
– –
IXUS icon
22
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$542K 0.29%
7,706
+1,375
+22% +$96.4K
MDY icon
23
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$27.3B
$437K 0.23%
914
+78
+9% +$35.6K
DEUS icon
24
Xtrackers Russell US Multifactor ETF
DEUS
$298M
$412K 0.22%
9,817
-12,345
-56% -$496K
AAPL icon
25
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$395K 0.21%
3,230
+2
+0.1% +$257
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2021 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2021, High Probability Advisors held 37 positions worth $190M, up 16% from $163M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 80% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $17M of net new capital in Q1 2021, opening 4 new positions and adding to 22 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Broadstone Net Lease: 219,364 shares worth $4.01M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 2.2% of assets, up from 0.09% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Consumer Discretionary.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Xtrackers Russell US Multifactor ETF, an estimated $496K trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2021 buy was Broadstone Net Lease: 219,364 shares worth $4.01M.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF in Q1 2021, an estimated $4.29M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2021 reduction was Xtrackers Russell US Multifactor ETF, cutting an estimated $496K.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF in Q1 2021, selling an estimated $1.31M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 80% of its $190M portfolio in Q1 2021.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 4 new positions and closed 3 in Q1 2021.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 16% quarter-over-quarter to $190M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2021, filed 14 Nov 2024.