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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+5.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$269M
AUM Growth
+$22.5M
Cap. Flow
+$9.79M
Cap. Flow %
3.63%
Top 10 Hldgs %
76.7%
Holding
42
New
3
Increased
28
Reduced
1
Closed
1

Top Buys

1
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$1.67M
2
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.14M
3
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$992K
4
VTEB icon
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
+$913K
5
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$711K

Top Sells

1
TLT icon
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT
+$206K
2
REZ icon
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
+$29.6K

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 3.21%
2 Technology 0.5%
3 Consumer Discretionary 0.13%
4 Healthcare 0.08%
5 Industrials 0.08%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$59.4M 22.04%
623,993
+18,180
+3% +$1.67M
IEI icon
2
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$26.7M 9.91%
207,397
+7,681
+4% +$992K
GSIE icon
3
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$24.5M 9.11%
695,542
+32,593
+5% +$1.14M
USMV icon
4
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$19.7M 7.31%
243,426
+8,125
+3% +$629K
FVAL icon
5
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$18.4M 6.83%
352,817
+7,488
+2% +$378K
MTUM icon
6
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$13.2M 4.9%
72,569
+2,699
+4% +$497K
SLYV icon
7
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
$4.92B
$13M 4.82%
153,131
+3,847
+3% +$329K
IUSV icon
8
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$11.2M 4.16%
146,864
+672
+0.5% +$49.8K
NYF icon
9
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$11.2M 4.14%
192,546
+2,030
+1% +$117K
DEEF icon
10
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
$54.6M
$9.36M 3.48%
296,009
+13,706
+5% +$433K
IVLU icon
11
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$7.8M 2.9%
306,533
+27,653
+10% +$711K
BNL icon
12
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$7.27M 2.7%
292,789
– –
FNDE icon
13
Schwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Large Company Index ETF
FNDE
$9.37B
$7.25M 2.69%
233,979
+13,175
+6% +$421K
FNDC icon
14
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$6.93M 2.57%
185,291
+9,014
+5% +$345K
FQAL icon
15
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$6.34M 2.35%
113,009
+1,565
+1% +$83.8K
FLRN icon
16
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
$3.07B
$5.8M 2.15%
189,655
+3,426
+2% +$105K
GSSC icon
17
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$5.21M 1.94%
78,362
+2,237
+3% +$148K
VTEB icon
18
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$2.7M 1%
49,221
+16,667
+51% +$913K
REZ icon
19
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$2.4M 0.89%
24,423
-322
-1% -$29.6K
SPY icon
20
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.67M 0.62%
3,520
+373
+12% +$171K
IWD icon
21
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.03M 0.38%
6,156
+59
+1% +$9.67K
IXUS icon
22
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$812K 0.3%
11,448
+1,013
+10% +$72.8K
IWM icon
23
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$739K 0.27%
3,323
+464
+16% +$105K
AAPL icon
24
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$725K 0.27%
4,084
+60
+1% +$9.48K
MSFT icon
25
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
$630K 0.23%
1,873
+143
+8% +$46.4K
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2021, High Probability Advisors held 42 positions worth $269M, up 9.1% from $247M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 77% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $9.79M of net new capital in Q4 2021, opening 3 new positions and adding to 28 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Apartment Income REIT Corp.: 3,831 shares worth $209K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 3.2% of assets, down from 3.3% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Consumer Discretionary.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF, an estimated $29.6K trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q4 2021 buy was Apartment Income REIT Corp.: 3,831 shares worth $209K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF in Q4 2021, an estimated $1.67M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF, cutting an estimated $29.6K.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $206K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 77% of its $269M portfolio in Q4 2021.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 1 in Q4 2021.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 9.1% quarter-over-quarter to $269M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Nov 2024.