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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-5.04%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$306M
AUM Growth
+$36.8M
Cap. Flow
+$51.2M
Cap. Flow %
16.72%
Top 10 Hldgs %
69.53%
Holding
48
New
7
Increased
24
Reduced
4
Closed
3

Top Buys

1
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$19.7M
2
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$16M
3
SHYG icon
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
+$13.4M
4
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$7.61M
5
SPTL icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
+$4.41M

Top Sells

1
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$10.1M
2
FNDE icon
Schwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Large Company Index ETF
FNDE
+$7.25M
3
FLRN icon
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
+$4.91M
4
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$643K
5
TLH icon
iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLH
+$206K

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 2.31%
2 Technology 0.48%
3 Healthcare 0.2%
4 Consumer Discretionary 0.08%
5 Industrials 0%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$58.9M 19.24%
661,553
+37,560
+6% +$3.32M
GSIE icon
2
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$24.4M 7.98%
746,124
+50,582
+7% +$1.69M
USMV icon
3
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$20M 6.55%
258,279
+14,853
+6% +$1.12M
SCHO icon
4
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$19.4M 6.35%
+784,356
New +$19.7M
FVAL icon
5
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$18.9M 6.16%
370,974
+18,157
+5% +$917K
SPIB icon
6
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$15.6M 5.1%
+456,710
New +$16M
IEI icon
7
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$15.5M 5.05%
126,755
-80,642
-39% -$10.1M
MTUM icon
8
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$13.4M 4.39%
79,897
+7,328
+10% +$1.21M
SLYV icon
9
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
$4.92B
$13.4M 4.37%
160,484
+7,353
+5% +$609K
SHYG icon
10
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$13.3M 4.34%
+302,540
New +$13.4M
IUSV icon
11
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$11.4M 3.73%
150,477
+3,613
+2% +$271K
NYF icon
12
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$10.8M 3.51%
197,129
+4,583
+2% +$258K
DEEF icon
13
Xtrackers FTSE Developed ex US Multifactor ETF
DEEF
$54.6M
$9.56M 3.12%
321,370
+25,361
+9% +$766K
IVLU icon
14
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$8.58M 2.8%
337,144
+30,611
+10% +$792K
AVEM icon
15
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$7.35M 2.4%
+124,009
New +$7.61M
FNDC icon
16
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$7.13M 2.33%
201,415
+16,124
+9% +$580K
FQAL icon
17
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$6.3M 2.06%
120,574
+7,565
+7% +$392K
BNL icon
18
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$5.75M 1.88%
263,979
-28,810
-10% -$643K
GSSC icon
19
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$5.13M 1.68%
82,827
+4,465
+6% +$277K
SPTL icon
20
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$4.23M 1.38%
+111,877
New +$4.41M
REZ icon
21
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$2.42M 0.79%
25,262
+839
+3% +$77.8K
VTEB icon
22
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$2.35M 0.77%
45,564
-3,657
-7% -$195K
SPY icon
23
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.74M 0.57%
3,847
+327
+9% +$146K
IWD icon
24
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.03M 0.34%
6,182
+26
+0.4% +$4.27K
FLRN icon
25
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
$3.07B
$878K 0.29%
28,790
-160,865
-85% -$4.91M
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2022 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2022, High Probability Advisors held 48 positions worth $306M, up 14% from $269M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 70% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $51.2M of net new capital in Q1 2022, opening 7 new positions and adding to 24 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF: 784,356 shares worth $19.4M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 2.3% of assets, down from 3.2% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Healthcare.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF, an estimated $10.1M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2022 buy was Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF: 784,356 shares worth $19.4M.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF in Q1 2022, an estimated $3.32M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2022 reduction was iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF, cutting an estimated $10.1M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Schwab Fundamental Emerging Markets Large Company Index ETF in Q1 2022, selling an estimated $7.25M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 70% of its $306M portfolio in Q1 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 7 new positions and closed 3 in Q1 2022.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 14% quarter-over-quarter to $306M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2022, filed 14 Nov 2024.