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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+5.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$729M
AUM Growth
+$60.6M
Cap. Flow
+$25.1M
Cap. Flow %
3.45%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.64%
Holding
65
New
5
Increased
33
Reduced
8
Closed
–

Top Buys

1
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$3.81M
2
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$2.35M
3
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$1.89M
4
SHYG icon
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
+$1.66M
5
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$1.66M

Top Sells

1
SPYM
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
+$423K
2
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$209K
3
IXUS icon
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
+$166K
4
SPMD icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
+$81.1K
5
SPSM icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
+$25K

Sector Composition

1 Technology 0.34%
2 Real Estate 0.31%
3 Financials 0.17%
4 Industrials 0.14%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.1%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$106M 14.49%
810,962
+12,312
+2% +$1.55M
MTUM icon
2
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$81.7M 11.2%
318,438
+4,422
+1% +$1.08M
DUHP icon
3
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$56.1M 7.69%
1,484,014
+45,291
+3% +$1.66M
GSIE icon
4
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$39.3M 5.39%
956,661
+28,677
+3% +$1.16M
NYF icon
5
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$37.6M 5.15%
704,625
+36,130
+5% +$1.89M
DIHP icon
6
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$35.8M 4.91%
1,179,333
+34,687
+3% +$1.03M
USMV icon
7
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$34.9M 4.78%
366,545
+16,229
+5% +$1.52M
SCHO icon
8
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$34.7M 4.76%
1,423,526
+156,716
+12% +$3.81M
AVUV icon
9
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
$29.4B
$30.3M 4.16%
304,569
+6,491
+2% +$628K
SCHR
10
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
$13.3B
$29.9M 4.11%
1,191,772
+47,310
+4% +$1.18M
FVAL icon
11
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$29.4M 4.04%
427,612
+12,675
+3% +$841K
DYNF icon
12
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
$37.8B
$25.3M 3.47%
428,045
+12,844
+3% +$729K
SPIB icon
13
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$25.3M 3.47%
747,720
+69,777
+10% +$2.35M
FQAL icon
14
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$22.7M 3.11%
303,348
+8,840
+3% +$637K
AVEM icon
15
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$22M 3.02%
292,976
+4,350
+2% +$311K
SHYG icon
16
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$19.6M 2.69%
453,352
+38,588
+9% +$1.66M
IUSV icon
17
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$16.7M 2.28%
166,629
+6,012
+4% +$585K
IVLU icon
18
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$13.2M 1.81%
371,320
+6,597
+2% +$227K
FNDC icon
19
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$12.6M 1.73%
283,413
+4,830
+2% +$210K
GSSC icon
20
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$11.5M 1.57%
153,326
+4,389
+3% +$316K
SPTL icon
21
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$9.72M 1.33%
360,490
+22,983
+7% +$607K
VTEB icon
22
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$3.92M 0.54%
78,195
+2,445
+3% +$120K
SPYM
23
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
$157B
$3.78M 0.52%
48,288
-5,612
-10% -$423K
IWV icon
24
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$1.96M 0.27%
5,180
– –
REZ icon
25
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$1.95M 0.27%
23,005
+32
+0.1% +$2.66K
1
2 3

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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, High Probability Advisors held 65 positions worth $729M, up 9.1% from $669M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $25.1M of net new capital in Q3 2025, opening 5 new positions and adding to 33 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 4,795 shares worth $481K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 0.34% of assets, up from 0.26% a quarter earlier, followed by Real Estate and Financials.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, an estimated $423K trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2025 buy was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 4,795 shares worth $481K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, cutting an estimated $423K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $729M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 5 new positions and closed 0 in Q3 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 9.1% quarter-over-quarter to $729M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Oct 2025.