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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.52%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$781M
AUM Growth
+$31.5M
Cap. Flow
+$44.2M
Cap. Flow %
5.66%
Top 10 Hldgs %
65.34%
Holding
77
New
4
Increased
28
Reduced
19
Closed
10

Top Buys

1
DYNF icon
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
+$23.8M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$7.82M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$6.83M
4
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$5.2M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$3.68M

Top Sells

1
AVUV icon
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
+$3.34M
2
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.94M
3
VGLT icon
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
VGLT
+$2.14M
4
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$1.87M
5
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$1.37M

Sector Composition

1 Technology 0.35%
2 Industrials 0.15%
3 Real Estate 0.12%
4 Financials 0.11%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.1%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$98.7M 12.63%
788,473
-22,440
-3% -$2.94M
MTUM icon
2
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$75.4M 9.65%
314,322
-7,442
-2% -$1.87M
DUHP icon
3
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$55.8M 7.14%
1,517,010
-4,645
-0.3% -$178K
DYNF icon
4
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
$37.8B
$48.4M 6.19%
831,989
+393,741
+90% +$23.8M
GSIE icon
5
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$42.7M 5.46%
989,692
+19,592
+2% +$870K
NYF icon
6
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$41.2M 5.27%
775,203
+145,357
+23% +$7.82M
SCHO icon
7
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$40.8M 5.23%
1,682,861
+213,719
+15% +$5.2M
DIHP icon
8
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$39.4M 5.04%
1,222,521
+23,491
+2% +$780K
USMV icon
9
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$36.5M 4.67%
393,657
+11,167
+3% +$1.06M
SCHR
10
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
$13.3B
$31.7M 4.06%
1,272,625
+73,938
+6% +$1.85M
AVUV icon
11
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
$29.4B
$31M 3.96%
280,293
-30,343
-10% -$3.34M
SPIB icon
12
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$29.9M 3.82%
890,888
+108,838
+14% +$3.68M
FVAL icon
13
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$29.5M 3.77%
424,713
-5,211
-1% -$377K
FQAL icon
14
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$23.7M 3.04%
326,720
+17,351
+6% +$1.31M
SHYG icon
15
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$22.6M 2.89%
533,407
+59,049
+12% +$2.52M
AVEM icon
16
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$22.2M 2.84%
275,318
-16,521
-6% -$1.37M
IUSV icon
17
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$18.2M 2.33%
178,271
+6,686
+4% +$701K
IVLU icon
18
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$14.4M 1.84%
362,399
-5,972
-2% -$241K
FNDC icon
19
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$13.4M 1.72%
289,799
+1,817
+0.6% +$86.1K
GSSC icon
20
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$11.9M 1.53%
160,298
+3,678
+2% +$286K
SPTL icon
21
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$10.6M 1.36%
403,545
+115,260
+40% +$3.07M
SPY icon
22
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$8.27M 1.06%
12,724
+10,050
+376% +$6.83M
SPYM
23
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
$157B
$4.24M 0.54%
55,336
+1,576
+3% +$126K
VTEB icon
24
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$3.6M 0.46%
72,251
-5,442
-7% -$275K
IWV icon
25
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$1.92M 0.25%
5,180
– –
1
2 3 4

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2026, High Probability Advisors held 77 positions worth $781M, up 4.2% from $750M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 65% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $44.2M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 4 new positions and adding to 28 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 0.35% of assets, up from 0.32% a quarter earlier, followed by Industrials and Real Estate.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, an estimated $3.34M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2026 buy was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF in Q1 2026, an estimated $23.8M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, cutting an estimated $3.34M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $2.14M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 65% of its $781M portfolio in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 4 new positions and closed 10 in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $781M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 13 Apr 2026.