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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+5.61%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$587M
AUM Growth
+$35.7M
Cap. Flow
+$4.75M
Cap. Flow %
0.81%
Top 10 Hldgs %
65.18%
Holding
57
New
3
Increased
17
Reduced
20
Closed
–

Top Buys

1
DYNF icon
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
+$16.5M
2
SCHR
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
+$15.8M
3
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$9.1M
4
FQAL icon
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
+$4.45M
5
SPTL icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
+$1.98M

Top Sells

1
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$17.1M
2
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$13.1M
3
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$5.02M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$3.79M
5
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$3.21M

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 0.76%
2 Technology 0.32%
3 Industrials 0.16%
4 Financials 0.06%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$83M 14.14%
735,263
-120,330
-14% -$13.1M
MTUM icon
2
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$56.3M 9.58%
277,487
+6,212
+2% +$1.2M
DUHP icon
3
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$40.6M 6.92%
1,192,369
-115,627
-9% -$3.79M
GSIE icon
4
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$37M 6.29%
1,021,837
-144,373
-12% -$5.02M
DIHP icon
5
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$35.7M 6.08%
1,289,428
-119,406
-8% -$3.21M
USMV icon
6
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$30.6M 5.22%
335,460
-4,901
-1% -$432K
NYF icon
7
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$29M 4.94%
534,236
+168,871
+46% +$9.1M
SCHO icon
8
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$28M 4.77%
1,143,592
-21,020
-2% -$511K
FVAL icon
9
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$21.6M 3.67%
355,959
-8,519
-2% -$499K
AVEM icon
10
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$20.9M 3.57%
324,236
-6,367
-2% -$390K
AVUV icon
11
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
$29.4B
$20.9M 3.55%
217,541
+4,057
+2% +$379K
SPIB icon
12
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$19.6M 3.34%
582,268
-8,594
-1% -$286K
FQAL icon
13
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$17.4M 2.97%
268,674
+71,277
+36% +$4.45M
DYNF icon
14
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
$37.8B
$17.1M 2.91%
+345,917
New +$16.5M
SCHR
15
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
$13.3B
$16M 2.72%
+630,900
New +$15.8M
SHYG icon
16
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$15.4M 2.63%
355,666
-13,440
-4% -$574K
IUSV icon
17
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$13.3M 2.26%
139,243
-1,386
-1% -$127K
IVLU icon
18
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$13M 2.22%
440,600
-12,846
-3% -$365K
FNDC icon
19
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$12.1M 2.07%
318,412
+1,936
+0.6% +$70.1K
IEI icon
20
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$11.2M 1.91%
93,954
-144,550
-61% -$17.1M
GSSC icon
21
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$8.4M 1.43%
121,103
-523
-0.4% -$35K
SPTL icon
22
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$7.39M 1.26%
254,042
+69,310
+38% +$1.98M
VTEB icon
23
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$3.8M 0.65%
74,263
+4,326
+6% +$219K
BNL icon
24
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$3.21M 0.55%
169,207
-4,945
-3% -$87.5K
SPYM
25
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
$157B
$2.93M 0.5%
43,471
+3,935
+10% +$256K
1
2 3

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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2024, High Probability Advisors held 57 positions worth $587M, up 6.5% from $552M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 65% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors's Q3 2024 filing shows 3 new, 17 increased and 20 reduced positions. Its largest new stake was BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF: 345,917 shares worth $17.1M. The largest sale was iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF, an estimated $17.1M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.76% of assets, up from 0.71% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2024 buy was BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF: 345,917 shares worth $17.1M.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to iShares New York Muni Bond ETF in Q3 2024, an estimated $9.1M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2024 reduction was iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF, cutting an estimated $17.1M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 65% of its $587M portfolio in Q3 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 0 in Q3 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $587M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2024, filed 12 Nov 2024.