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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$539M
AUM Growth
+$43.6M
Cap. Flow
+$12.3M
Cap. Flow %
2.29%
Top 10 Hldgs %
69.5%
Holding
60
New
6
Increased
27
Reduced
8
Closed
4

Top Buys

1
AVUV icon
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
+$18.3M
2
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$2.64M
3
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$2.33M
4
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$2.04M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$1.67M

Top Sells

1
SLYV icon
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
+$18.7M
2
VGIT icon
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
VGIT
+$2.23M
3
GVI icon
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
+$1.86M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$671K
5
FLRN icon
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
+$336K

Sector Composition

1 Real Estate 0.75%
2 Technology 0.26%
3 Industrials 0.15%
4 Consumer Discretionary 0.06%
5 Financials 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GSLC icon
1
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
$15.4B
$89.3M 16.57%
860,530
+1,673
+0.2% +$165K
DUHP icon
2
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
$12.2B
$41.4M 7.69%
1,311,277
-22,392
-2% -$671K
GSIE icon
3
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
$5.87B
$38.8M 7.2%
1,131,565
+38,871
+4% +$1.29M
MTUM icon
4
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
$25.8B
$37.4M 6.94%
199,855
+2,632
+1% +$459K
DIHP icon
5
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
$6.16B
$37M 6.86%
1,372,547
+32,215
+2% +$837K
USMV icon
6
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
USMV
$23.1B
$29.5M 5.47%
352,813
+4,239
+1% +$342K
FVAL icon
7
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
$1.28B
$28.4M 5.28%
498,582
+7,315
+1% +$398K
SCHO icon
8
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
$12.7B
$26.8M 4.97%
1,111,728
+96,538
+10% +$2.33M
IEI icon
9
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$26.6M 4.93%
229,513
+22,721
+11% +$2.64M
AVUV icon
10
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
$29.4B
$19.4M 3.6%
+207,098
New +$18.3M
AVEM icon
11
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
$24.6B
$18.8M 3.49%
324,527
+13,661
+4% +$768K
NYF icon
12
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
$1.37B
$18.8M 3.49%
349,402
+37,795
+12% +$2.04M
SPIB icon
13
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
$11.5B
$18.4M 3.41%
562,628
+51,269
+10% +$1.67M
IUSV icon
14
iShares Core S&P US Value ETF
IUSV
$27.1B
$16.7M 3.1%
184,781
+1,383
+0.8% +$119K
SHYG icon
15
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
$7.61B
$15.2M 2.83%
358,011
+28,430
+9% +$1.2M
IVLU icon
16
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
$4.28B
$12.6M 2.33%
445,712
+14,374
+3% +$386K
FQAL icon
17
Fidelity Quality Factor ETF
FQAL
$1.42B
$11.5M 2.13%
194,458
+3,022
+2% +$170K
FNDC icon
18
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
$3B
$11M 2.03%
309,028
+14,716
+5% +$506K
GSSC icon
19
GS ActiveBeta US Small Cap Equity ETF
GSSC
$1.05B
$7.73M 1.43%
117,898
+2,060
+2% +$129K
SPTL icon
20
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
$10.5B
$4.74M 0.88%
169,774
+19,138
+13% +$534K
VTEB icon
21
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
$45.6B
$3.5M 0.65%
69,220
-3,878
-5% -$197K
BNL icon
22
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$2.73M 0.51%
174,152
-3,650
-2% -$57.6K
SPYM
23
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
$157B
$2.29M 0.42%
37,193
+1,239
+3% +$72.6K
REZ icon
24
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$1.85M 0.34%
25,710
+24
+0.1% +$1.69K
SPY icon
25
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.65M 0.31%
3,148
-133
-4% -$66.2K
1
2 3

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2024, High Probability Advisors held 60 positions worth $539M, up 8.8% from $496M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 69% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors's Q1 2024 filing shows 6 new, 27 increased, 8 reduced and 4 closed positions. Its largest new stake was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF: 207,098 shares worth $19.4M. The largest sale was State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF, an estimated $18.7M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.75% of assets, down from 0.89% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2024 buy was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF: 207,098 shares worth $19.4M.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF in Q1 2024, an estimated $2.64M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2024 reduction was iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF, cutting an estimated $1.86M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF in Q1 2024, selling an estimated $18.7M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 69% of its $539M portfolio in Q1 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 6 new positions and closed 4 in Q1 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 8.8% quarter-over-quarter to $539M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2024, filed 14 Nov 2024.