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High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings
AUM
$892M
Turnover
12.82%
1-Year Est. Return
11.11%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.42%
1 Year Est. Return
+11.11%
3 Year Est. Return
+52.63%
5 Year Est. Return
+42.84%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$892M
AUM Growth
-$42.9M
(-4.6%)
Cap. Flow
-$28.6M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
-3.21%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
68.29%
Holding
78
New
3
Increased
30
Reduced
4
Closed
7
Avg Time Held
3.3
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
3.2
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
4.4
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
|
+$5.81M |
| 2 |
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
|
+$4.73M |
| 3 |
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
|
+$3.38M |
| 4 |
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
|
+$3.07M |
| 5 |
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
|
+$2.94M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares
DUHP
|
+$67.2M |
| 2 |
Coherent
COHR
|
+$266K |
| 3 |
Credo Technology Group
CRDO
|
+$243K |
| 4 |
ASML
ASML
|
+$215K |
| 5 |
Applied Materials
AMAT
|
+$209K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miscellaneous | 98.93% |
| 2 | Technology | 0.5% |
| 3 | Industrials | 0.14% |
| 4 | Financials | 0.12% |
| 5 | Communication Services | 0.11% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
51
Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF
DFUV
$15.4B
| $366K | 0.04% |
6,646
| – | – |
2024 Q1
10 quarters
|
|
52
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.92B
| $352K | 0.04% |
3,516
-1,197
| -25% | -$120K |
2025 Q3
4 quarters
|
|
53
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$36.4B
| $336K | 0.04% |
2,750
| – | – |
2023 Q4
11 quarters
|
|
54
TSMC
TSM
$2.18T
| $303K | 0.03% |
664
| – | – |
2025 Q4
3 quarters
|
|
55
Visa
V
$756B
| $298K | 0.03% |
828
| – | – |
2025 Q3
4 quarters
|
|
56
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$21.3B
| $288K | 0.03% |
8,840
| – | – |
2023 Q4
11 quarters
|
|
57
Home Depot
HD
$309B
| $278K | 0.03% |
976
| – | – |
2022 Q4
15 quarters
|
|
58
iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF
IJH
$121B
| $276K | 0.03% |
3,831
| – | – |
2025 Q4
3 quarters
|
|
59
Amazon
AMZN
$2.83T
| $273K | 0.03% |
1,096
| – | – |
2026 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
60
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$886B
| $273K | 0.03% |
824
| – | – |
2025 Q2
5 quarters
|
|
61
AbbVie
ABBV
$500B
| $250K | 0.03% |
954
| – | – |
2025 Q4
3 quarters
|
|
62
Dell
DELL
$290B
| $249K | 0.03% |
+463
| New | +$217K |
2026 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
63
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.8T
| $220K | 0.02% |
+303
| New | +$189K |
2026 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
64
Vanguard Total International Stock ETF
VXUS
$160B
| $215K | 0.02% |
2,534
-7
| -0.3% | -$602 |
2026 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
65
Dimensional US Equity ETF
DFUS
$21.3B
| $208K | 0.02% |
2,501
| – | – |
2025 Q3
4 quarters
|
|
66
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
BRK.B
$1.14T
| $205K | 0.02% |
412
| – | – |
2026 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
67
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$878B
| $205K | 0.02% |
+335
| New | +$172K |
2026 Q3
0 quarters
|
|
68
Dimensional US Sustainability Core 1 ETF
DFSU
$2.37B
| $204K | 0.02% |
4,334
+9
| +0.2% | +$430 |
2026 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
69
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
$12.7B
| $200K | 0.02% |
1,916
-55
| -3% | -$5.82K |
2023 Q4
11 quarters
|
|
70
NIO
NIO
$8.49B
| $114K | 0.01% |
33,195
| – | – |
2025 Q4
3 quarters
|
|
71
Kodak
KODK
$874M
| $107K | 0.01% |
11,160
| – | – |
2025 Q4
3 quarters
|
|
|
72
Applied Materials
AMAT
$328B
| – | – |
-289
| Closed | -$209K | – |
|
|
73
ASML
ASML
$635B
| – | – |
-108
| Closed | -$215K | – |
|
|
74
Coherent
COHR
$45.7B
| – | – |
-675
| Closed | -$266K | – |
|
|
75
Credo Technology Group
CRDO
$32.5B
| – | – |
-895
| Closed | -$243K | – |
|
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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2026, High Probability Advisors held 78 positions worth $892M, down 4.6% from $935M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 68% of the portfolio.
High Probability Advisors withdrew a net $28.6M in Q3 2026, closing 7 positions and reducing 4 holdings. Its most notable exit was U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares, an estimated $67.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Miscellaneous at 99% of assets, down from 99% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.
Against the trend, High Probability Advisors opened a new position in Dell worth $249K.
- High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2026 buy was Dell: 463 shares worth $249K.
- High Probability Advisors added most to iShares New York Muni Bond ETF in Q3 2026, an estimated $5.81M increase.
- High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2026 reduction was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF, cutting an estimated $120K.
- High Probability Advisors fully exited U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares in Q3 2026, selling an estimated $67.2M.
- High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 68% of its $892M portfolio in Q3 2026.
- High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 7 in Q3 2026.
- High Probability Advisors's portfolio value fell 4.6% quarter-over-quarter to $892M.
Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2026, filed 19 Oct 2026.