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High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings
AUM
$892M
Turnover
12.82%
1-Year Est. Return
11.11%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.42%
1 Year Est. Return
+11.11%
3 Year Est. Return
+52.63%
5 Year Est. Return
+42.84%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$892M
AUM Growth
-$42.9M
(-4.6%)
Cap. Flow
-$28.6M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
-3.21%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
68.29%
Holding
78
New
3
Increased
30
Reduced
4
Closed
7
Avg Time Held
3.3
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
3.2
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
4.4
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
|
+$5.81M |
| 2 |
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
|
+$4.73M |
| 3 |
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
|
+$3.38M |
| 4 |
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
|
+$3.07M |
| 5 |
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
|
+$2.94M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares
DUHP
|
+$67.2M |
| 2 |
Coherent
COHR
|
+$266K |
| 3 |
Credo Technology Group
CRDO
|
+$243K |
| 4 |
ASML
ASML
|
+$215K |
| 5 |
Applied Materials
AMAT
|
+$209K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miscellaneous | 98.93% |
| 2 | Technology | 0.5% |
| 3 | Industrials | 0.14% |
| 4 | Financials | 0.12% |
| 5 | Communication Services | 0.11% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
26
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$791M
| $2.04M | 0.23% |
23,137
+35
| +0.2% | +$3.31K |
2021 Q2
21 quarters
|
|
27
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$884B
| $1.85M | 0.21% |
2,422
| – | – |
2025 Q2
5 quarters
|
|
28
Apple
AAPL
$5T
| $1.61M | 0.18% |
4,848
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
29
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$83.6B
| $1.54M | 0.17% |
6,221
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
30
U.S. Core Equity 2 Portfolio ETF Class Shares
DFAC
$48.9B
| $1.31M | 0.15% |
29,474
| – | – |
2024 Q1
10 quarters
|
|
31
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.2B
| $1.22M | 0.14% |
19,418
+1,167
| +6% | +$77.2K |
2023 Q3
12 quarters
|
|
32
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$17.5B
| $1.2M | 0.13% |
15,908
| – | – |
2022 Q3
16 quarters
|
|
33
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.96T
| $1.11M | 0.12% |
2,167
+100
| +5% | +$46.2K |
2021 Q1
22 quarters
|
|
34
Schwab US Broad Market ETF
SCHB
$44.6B
| $1.1M | 0.12% |
37,555
+200
| +0.5% | +$5.87K |
2024 Q1
10 quarters
|
|
35
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$77.8B
| $910K | 0.1% |
3,275
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
36
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$3.39B
| $846K | 0.09% |
45,718
-1,296
| -3% | -$27.2K |
2021 Q1
22 quarters
|
|
37
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.21T
| $738K | 0.08% |
2,145
| – | – |
2025 Q2
5 quarters
|
|
38
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$102B
| $672K | 0.08% |
4,937
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
39
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
VEA
$227B
| $656K | 0.07% |
9,286
| – | – |
2025 Q3
4 quarters
|
|
40
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.5B
| $615K | 0.07% |
1,610
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
41
Trane Technologies
TT
$102B
| $615K | 0.07% |
1,360
| – | – |
2023 Q2
13 quarters
|
|
42
U.S. Targeted Value Portfolio ETF Class Shares
DFAT
$13.9B
| $576K | 0.06% |
8,672
| – | – |
2024 Q1
10 quarters
|
|
43
Eaton
ETN
$152B
| $527K | 0.06% |
1,226
| – | – |
2023 Q2
13 quarters
|
|
44
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.7B
| $516K | 0.06% |
3,253
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
45
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.79B
| $494K | 0.06% |
4,797
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
46
NVIDIA
NVDA
$5.24T
| $488K | 0.05% |
2,135
| – | – |
2026 Q1
2 quarters
|
|
47
Micron Technology
MU
$1.02T
| $460K | 0.05% |
432
| – | – |
2026 Q2
1 quarter
|
|
48
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$16.9B
| $443K | 0.05% |
3,902
| – | – |
2020 Q4
23 quarters
|
|
49
iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF
SUSA
$4.06B
| $403K | 0.05% |
2,591
+6
| +0.2% | +$936 |
2025 Q1
6 quarters
|
|
50
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
$15.5B
| $390K | 0.04% |
7,375
+398
| +6% | +$22.4K |
2024 Q3
8 quarters
|
|
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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2026, High Probability Advisors held 78 positions worth $892M, down 4.6% from $935M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 68% of the portfolio.
High Probability Advisors withdrew a net $28.6M in Q3 2026, closing 7 positions and reducing 4 holdings. Its most notable exit was U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares, an estimated $67.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Miscellaneous at 99% of assets, down from 99% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.
Against the trend, High Probability Advisors opened a new position in Dell worth $249K.
- High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2026 buy was Dell: 463 shares worth $249K.
- High Probability Advisors added most to iShares New York Muni Bond ETF in Q3 2026, an estimated $5.81M increase.
- High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2026 reduction was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF, cutting an estimated $120K.
- High Probability Advisors fully exited U.S. High Relative Profitability Portfolio ETF Class Shares in Q3 2026, selling an estimated $67.2M.
- High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 68% of its $892M portfolio in Q3 2026.
- High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 7 in Q3 2026.
- High Probability Advisors's portfolio value fell 4.6% quarter-over-quarter to $892M.
Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2026, filed 19 Oct 2026.