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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.52%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$781M
AUM Growth
+$31.5M
Cap. Flow
+$44.2M
Cap. Flow %
5.66%
Top 10 Hldgs %
65.34%
Holding
77
New
4
Increased
28
Reduced
19
Closed
10

Top Buys

1
DYNF icon
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
+$23.8M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$7.82M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$6.83M
4
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$5.2M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$3.68M

Top Sells

1
AVUV icon
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
+$3.34M
2
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.94M
3
VGLT icon
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
VGLT
+$2.14M
4
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$1.87M
5
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$1.37M

Sector Composition

1 Technology 0.35%
2 Industrials 0.15%
3 Real Estate 0.12%
4 Financials 0.11%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.1%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
VGLT icon
76
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
VGLT
$10.3B
– –
-38,415
Closed -$2.14M
VXUS icon
77
Vanguard Total International Stock ETF
VXUS
$153B
– –
-2,698
Closed -$204K
1 2 3
4

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2026, High Probability Advisors held 77 positions worth $781M, up 4.2% from $750M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 65% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $44.2M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 4 new positions and adding to 28 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 0.35% of assets, up from 0.32% a quarter earlier, followed by Industrials and Real Estate.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, an estimated $3.34M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2026 buy was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF in Q1 2026, an estimated $23.8M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, cutting an estimated $3.34M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $2.14M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 65% of its $781M portfolio in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 4 new positions and closed 10 in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $781M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 13 Apr 2026.