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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.52%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$781M
AUM Growth
+$31.5M
Cap. Flow
+$44.2M
Cap. Flow %
5.66%
Top 10 Hldgs %
65.34%
Holding
77
New
4
Increased
28
Reduced
19
Closed
10

Top Buys

1
DYNF icon
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
+$23.8M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$7.82M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$6.83M
4
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$5.2M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$3.68M

Top Sells

1
AVUV icon
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
+$3.34M
2
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.94M
3
VGLT icon
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
VGLT
+$2.14M
4
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$1.87M
5
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$1.37M

Sector Composition

1 Technology 0.35%
2 Industrials 0.15%
3 Real Estate 0.12%
4 Financials 0.11%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.1%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SUSA icon
51
iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF
SUSA
$4.01B
$341K 0.04%
2,581
+7
+0.3% +$971
HD icon
52
Home Depot
HD
$338B
$332K 0.04%
1,009
+104
+11% +$37.9K
DFUV icon
53
Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF
DFUV
$15.2B
$322K 0.04%
6,646
– –
SPSM icon
54
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
$16.9B
$322K 0.04%
6,662
-2
-0% -$99
NVDA icon
55
NVIDIA
NVDA
$4.91T
$286K 0.04%
+1,639
New +$301K
JPM icon
56
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$907B
$265K 0.03%
900
+157
+21% +$47.6K
V icon
57
Visa
V
$682B
$260K 0.03%
861
+134
+18% +$43.1K
IJH icon
58
iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF
IJH
$122B
$259K 0.03%
3,831
-2,840
-43% -$197K
SCHA icon
59
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$22.7B
$257K 0.03%
8,840
– –
IAU icon
60
iShares Gold Trust
IAU
$62.4B
$238K 0.03%
+2,705
New +$248K
AMZN icon
61
Amazon
AMZN
$2.66T
$228K 0.03%
+1,096
New +$241K
NIO icon
62
NIO
NIO
$12.2B
$223K 0.03%
37,012
-10,288
-22% -$51.9K
ABBV icon
63
AbbVie
ABBV
$450B
$215K 0.03%
989
+102
+11% +$22.6K
SUB icon
64
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
$11.4B
$210K 0.03%
1,971
– –
DFUS
65
Dimensional US Equity ETF
DFUS
$20.8B
$205K 0.03%
2,891
– –
TNGY
66
Tortoise Energy ETF
TNGY
$548M
$148K 0.02%
+14,145
New +$139K
KODK icon
67
Kodak
KODK
$750M
$101K 0.01%
11,160
– –
AVB icon
68
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
– –
-3,318
Closed -$602K
BND icon
69
Vanguard Total Bond Market
BND
$159B
– –
-4,172
Closed -$309K
BRK.B icon
70
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
BRK.B
$1.06T
– –
-402
Closed -$202K
IDEV icon
71
iShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETF
IDEV
$30.7B
– –
-3,240
Closed -$267K
IRT icon
72
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
– –
-16,645
Closed -$291K
MAA icon
73
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
– –
-2,318
Closed -$322K
SPGI icon
74
S&P Global
SPGI
$133B
– –
-419
Closed -$219K
VGIT icon
75
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
VGIT
$41.9B
– –
-16,890
Closed -$1.01M
1 2
3
4

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2026, High Probability Advisors held 77 positions worth $781M, up 4.2% from $750M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 65% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $44.2M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 4 new positions and adding to 28 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 0.35% of assets, up from 0.32% a quarter earlier, followed by Industrials and Real Estate.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, an estimated $3.34M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2026 buy was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF in Q1 2026, an estimated $23.8M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, cutting an estimated $3.34M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $2.14M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 65% of its $781M portfolio in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 4 new positions and closed 10 in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $781M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 13 Apr 2026.