We are live on ! Find out more
HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+5.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$729M
AUM Growth
+$60.6M
Cap. Flow
+$25.1M
Cap. Flow %
3.45%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.64%
Holding
65
New
5
Increased
33
Reduced
8
Closed
–

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$3.81M
2
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$2.35M
3
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$1.89M
4
SHYG icon
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
+$1.66M
5
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$1.66M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPYM
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
+$423K
2
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$209K
3
IXUS icon
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
+$166K
4
SPMD icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
+$81.1K
5
SPSM icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
+$25K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 0.34%
2 Real Estate 0.31%
3 Financials 0.17%
4 Industrials 0.14%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.1%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
HD icon
51
Home Depot
HD
$338B
$367K 0.05%
905
+122
+16% +$48K
SUSA icon
52
iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF
SUSA
$4.01B
$348K 0.05%
2,568
-12
-0.5% -$1.57K
MAA icon
53
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
$324K 0.04%
2,318
– –
DFUV icon
54
Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF
DFUV
$15.2B
$297K 0.04%
6,646
– –
SPSM icon
55
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
$16.9B
$277K 0.04%
5,975
-558
-9% -$25K
IRT icon
56
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
$273K 0.04%
16,645
– –
NVDA icon
57
NVIDIA
NVDA
$4.91T
$272K 0.04%
+1,460
New +$254K
V icon
58
Visa
V
$682B
$248K 0.03%
+727
New +$252K
SCHA icon
59
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$22.7B
$247K 0.03%
8,840
– –
JPM icon
60
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$907B
$234K 0.03%
743
– –
VEA icon
61
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
VEA
$226B
$228K 0.03%
+3,811
New +$222K
BRK.B icon
62
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
BRK.B
$1.06T
$215K 0.03%
427
– –
DFUS
63
Dimensional US Equity ETF
DFUS
$20.8B
$209K 0.03%
+2,891
New +$201K
SUB icon
64
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
$11.4B
$208K 0.03%
1,950
– –
SPGI icon
65
S&P Global
SPGI
$133B
$204K 0.03%
419
– –
1 2
3

Similar funds

LJAC
L.J. Altfest & Co New York $935M AUM 27.19% 1-Year Est. Return
PWAM
Private Wealth Asset Management Cedar Rapids, Iowa $935M AUM 17.66% 1-Year Est. Return
NI
NetEase Inc Hangzhou, China $934M AUM 11.31% 1-Year Est. Return
APM
Avidity Partners Management Dallas, Texas $936M AUM 195% 1-Year Est. Return
NM
Newtyn Management New York $936M AUM 27.23% 1-Year Est. Return
MCM
Massar Capital Management Stamford, Connecticut $934M AUM 14.18% 1-Year Est. Return
TS
Tamar Securities Woodland Hills, California $934M AUM 26.74% 1-Year Est. Return
TW
TritonPoint Wealth Chevy Chase, Maryland $934M AUM 23.95% 1-Year Est. Return

High Probability Advisors's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, High Probability Advisors held 65 positions worth $729M, up 9.1% from $669M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $25.1M of net new capital in Q3 2025, opening 5 new positions and adding to 33 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 4,795 shares worth $481K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 0.34% of assets, up from 0.26% a quarter earlier, followed by Real Estate and Financials.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, an estimated $423K trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2025 buy was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 4,795 shares worth $481K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, cutting an estimated $423K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $729M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 5 new positions and closed 0 in Q3 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 9.1% quarter-over-quarter to $729M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Oct 2025.