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HPA
High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings
AUM
$935M
1-Year Est. Return
18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+7.77%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$669M
AUM Growth
+$69.1M
(+12%)
Cap. Flow
+$23.1M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
3.46%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
67.08%
Holding
61
New
6
Increased
25
Reduced
12
Closed
1
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
|
+$6.15M |
| 2 |
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
|
+$4.84M |
| 3 |
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
|
+$3.97M |
| 4 |
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
|
+$3.83M |
| 5 |
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
|
+$2.22M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
|
+$2.72M |
| 2 |
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
|
+$2.38M |
| 3 |
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
|
+$1.3M |
| 4 |
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
|
+$915K |
| 5 |
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
|
+$303K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Estate | 0.36% |
| 2 | Technology | 0.26% |
| 3 | Industrials | 0.15% |
| 4 | Financials | 0.15% |
| 5 | Consumer Discretionary | 0.08% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
51
Home Depot
HD
$338B
| $287K | 0.04% |
783
+2
| +0.3% | +$724 |
|
52
Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF
DFUV
$15.2B
| $281K | 0.04% |
6,646
| – | – |
|
53
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
$16.9B
| $278K | 0.04% |
6,533
+425
| +7% | +$17.1K |
|
54
Tesla
TSLA
$1.43T
| $269K | 0.04% |
+847
| New | +$255K |
|
55
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$22.7B
| $224K | 0.03% |
8,840
| – | – |
|
56
S&P Global
SPGI
$133B
| $221K | 0.03% |
+419
| New | +$209K |
|
57
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$907B
| $215K | 0.03% |
+743
| New | +$190K |
|
58
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.23T
| $208K | 0.03% |
+1,181
| New | +$193K |
|
59
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
BRK.B
$1.06T
| $207K | 0.03% |
+427
| New | +$217K |
|
60
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
$11.4B
| $207K | 0.03% |
1,950
| – | – |
|
61
UnitedHealth
UNH
$387B
| – | – |
-481
| Closed | -$252K |
|
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High Probability Advisors's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, High Probability Advisors held 61 positions worth $669M, up 12% from $600M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.
High Probability Advisors deployed $23.1M of net new capital in Q2 2025, opening 6 new positions and adding to 25 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was iShares Core S&P 500 ETF: 1,064 shares worth $661K.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.36% of assets, down from 0.48% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF, an estimated $2.72M trimmed.
- High Probability Advisors's largest Q2 2025 buy was iShares Core S&P 500 ETF: 1,064 shares worth $661K.
- High Probability Advisors added most to Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF in Q2 2025, an estimated $6.15M increase.
- High Probability Advisors's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF, cutting an estimated $2.72M.
- High Probability Advisors fully exited UnitedHealth in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $252K.
- High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $669M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- High Probability Advisors opened 6 new positions and closed 1 in Q2 2025.
- High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 12% quarter-over-quarter to $669M.
Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 9 Jul 2025.