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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.13%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$600M
AUM Growth
+$41.8M
Cap. Flow
+$44M
Cap. Flow %
7.33%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.99%
Holding
56
New
1
Increased
25
Reduced
11
Closed
1

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SCHR
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
+$18.5M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$11.1M
3
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$3.52M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$2.15M
5
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$1.99M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$1.71M
2
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$1.36M
3
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.13M
4
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$810K
5
FNDC icon
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
+$532K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 0.48%
2 Technology 0.26%
3 Industrials 0.13%
4 Financials 0.06%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
DFUV icon
51
Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF
DFUV
$15.2B
$274K 0.05%
6,646
– –
UNH icon
52
UnitedHealth
UNH
$387B
$252K 0.04%
481
– –
SPSM icon
53
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
$16.9B
$249K 0.04%
6,108
+765
+14% +$33.7K
SCHA icon
54
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$22.7B
$207K 0.03%
8,840
– –
SUB icon
55
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
$11.4B
$206K 0.03%
1,950
– –
GOOGL icon
56
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.23T
– –
-1,381
Closed -$261K
1 2
3

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NM
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MCM
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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, High Probability Advisors held 56 positions worth $600M, up 7.5% from $558M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $44M of net new capital in Q1 2025, opening 1 new position and adding to 25 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF: 2,468 shares worth $283K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.48% of assets, down from 0.51% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF, an estimated $1.71M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2025 buy was iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF: 2,468 shares worth $283K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF in Q1 2025, an estimated $18.5M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF, cutting an estimated $1.71M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Alphabet (Google) Class A in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $261K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $600M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 1 new position and closed 1 in Q1 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $600M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 16 Apr 2025.