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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.83%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$558M
AUM Growth
-$29.5M
Cap. Flow
-$17.2M
Cap. Flow %
-3.07%
Top 10 Hldgs %
67.52%
Holding
57
New
–
Increased
23
Reduced
17
Closed
2

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$2.24M
2
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$2.03M
3
DYNF icon
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
+$1.52M
4
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$1.31M
5
SPTL icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
+$856K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$9.99M
2
SCHR
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
+$6.12M
3
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$5.71M
4
VTEB icon
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
+$1.67M
5
GVI icon
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
+$1.57M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 0.51%
2 Technology 0.34%
3 Industrials 0.16%
4 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
5 Financials 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GOOGL icon
51
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.08T
$261K 0.05%
1,381
– –
UNH icon
52
UnitedHealth
UNH
$383B
$243K 0.04%
481
-25
-5% -$14.2K
SPSM icon
53
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
$17.1B
$240K 0.04%
5,343
+509
+11% +$23.7K
SCHA icon
54
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$22.3B
$229K 0.04%
8,840
– –
SUB icon
55
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
$11.4B
$206K 0.04%
1,950
+10
+0.5% +$1.06K
GBIL icon
56
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.64B
– –
-2,502
Closed -$251K
VTI icon
57
Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$657B
– –
-1,522
Closed -$431K
1 2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, High Probability Advisors held 57 positions worth $558M, down 5% from $587M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 68% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors withdrew a net $17.2M in Q4 2024, closing 2 positions and reducing 17 holdings. Its most notable exit was Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF, an estimated $431K position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.51% of assets, down from 0.76% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

Against the trend, High Probability Advisors added an estimated $2.24M to Dimensional US High Profitability ETF.

  • High Probability Advisors added most to Dimensional US High Profitability ETF in Q4 2024, an estimated $2.24M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF, cutting an estimated $9.99M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $431K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 68% of its $558M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 0 new positions and closed 2 in Q4 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value fell 5% quarter-over-quarter to $558M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 17 Jan 2025.