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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.52%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$781M
AUM Growth
+$31.5M
Cap. Flow
+$44.2M
Cap. Flow %
5.66%
Top 10 Hldgs %
65.34%
Holding
77
New
4
Increased
28
Reduced
19
Closed
10

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
DYNF icon
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
+$23.8M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$7.82M
3
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$6.83M
4
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$5.2M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$3.68M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
AVUV icon
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
+$3.34M
2
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.94M
3
VGLT icon
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
VGLT
+$2.14M
4
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$1.87M
5
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$1.37M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 0.35%
2 Industrials 0.15%
3 Real Estate 0.12%
4 Financials 0.11%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.1%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
REZ icon
26
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$1.92M 0.25%
23,069
– –
IXUS icon
27
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$1.69M 0.22%
19,497
-255
-1% -$22.7K
IVV icon
28
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$881B
$1.56M 0.2%
2,390
-980
-29% -$669K
IWD icon
29
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.33M 0.17%
6,221
-343
-5% -$75.1K
AAPL icon
30
Apple
AAPL
$4.89T
$1.23M 0.16%
4,829
-3
-0.1% -$781
DFAC icon
31
Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF
DFAC
$47.4B
$1.2M 0.15%
30,828
– –
ACWX icon
32
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$1.09M 0.14%
15,964
+56
+0.4% +$3.95K
SPMD icon
33
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$1.02M 0.13%
17,267
+95
+0.6% +$5.78K
BNL icon
34
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$949K 0.12%
51,949
-2,655
-5% -$50K
SCHB icon
35
Schwab US Broad Market ETF
SCHB
$43B
$919K 0.12%
36,623
-1,854
-5% -$48.6K
MSFT icon
36
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.98T
$853K 0.11%
2,303
+424
+23% +$177K
IWM icon
37
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$812K 0.1%
3,275
– –
GOOGL icon
38
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.33T
$640K 0.08%
2,226
+281
+14% +$88.3K
IJR icon
39
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$619K 0.08%
4,976
-755
-13% -$95.9K
VEA icon
40
Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF
VEA
$226B
$595K 0.08%
9,286
– –
TT icon
41
Trane Technologies
TT
$105B
$583K 0.07%
1,399
+39
+3% +$16.6K
DFAT icon
42
Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF
DFAT
$14.5B
$542K 0.07%
8,672
– –
OEF icon
43
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$512K 0.07%
1,610
– –
GVI icon
44
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$512K 0.07%
4,797
– –
ETN icon
45
Eaton
ETN
$154B
$479K 0.06%
1,338
+112
+9% +$39.9K
GBIL icon
46
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.68B
$470K 0.06%
4,693
-149
-3% -$14.9K
IEI icon
47
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$460K 0.06%
3,878
– –
ACWI icon
48
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$450K 0.06%
3,253
– –
HIG icon
49
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$37.5B
$372K 0.05%
2,750
– –
TSM icon
50
TSMC
TSM
$2.13T
$369K 0.05%
1,091
+427
+64% +$147K
1
2
3 4

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2026, High Probability Advisors held 77 positions worth $781M, up 4.2% from $750M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 65% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $44.2M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 4 new positions and adding to 28 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 0.35% of assets, up from 0.32% a quarter earlier, followed by Industrials and Real Estate.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, an estimated $3.34M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2026 buy was NVIDIA: 1,639 shares worth $286K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF in Q1 2026, an estimated $23.8M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF, cutting an estimated $3.34M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $2.14M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 65% of its $781M portfolio in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 4 new positions and closed 10 in Q1 2026.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $781M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 13 Apr 2026.