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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+5.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$729M
AUM Growth
+$60.6M
Cap. Flow
+$25.1M
Cap. Flow %
3.45%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.64%
Holding
65
New
5
Increased
33
Reduced
8
Closed
–

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$3.81M
2
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$2.35M
3
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$1.89M
4
SHYG icon
iShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
SHYG
+$1.66M
5
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$1.66M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPYM
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF
SPYM
+$423K
2
BNL icon
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
+$209K
3
IXUS icon
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
+$166K
4
SPMD icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
+$81.1K
5
SPSM icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 600 Small Cap ETF
SPSM
+$25K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 0.34%
2 Real Estate 0.31%
3 Financials 0.17%
4 Industrials 0.14%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.1%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SPY icon
26
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.81M 0.25%
2,723
-5
-0.2% -$3.21K
IXUS icon
27
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$1.46M 0.2%
17,657
-2,084
-11% -$166K
IWD icon
28
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.34M 0.18%
6,564
+448
+7% +$89.1K
AAPL icon
29
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$1.27M 0.17%
4,986
+482
+11% +$109K
DFAC icon
30
Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF
DFAC
$47.4B
$1.19M 0.16%
30,828
+3
+0% +$112
ACWX icon
31
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$1.03M 0.14%
15,908
– –
BNL icon
32
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$1.03M 0.14%
57,749
-12,160
-17% -$209K
SCHB icon
33
Schwab US Broad Market ETF
SCHB
$43B
$960K 0.13%
37,326
+1,001
+3% +$24.8K
MSFT icon
34
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
$952K 0.13%
1,838
+190
+12% +$96.9K
SPMD icon
35
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$877K 0.12%
15,343
-1,439
-9% -$81.1K
IWM icon
36
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$792K 0.11%
3,275
– –
IVV icon
37
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$881B
$715K 0.1%
1,068
+4
+0.4% +$2.58K
AVB icon
38
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
$641K 0.09%
3,318
– –
TT icon
39
Trane Technologies
TT
$104B
$574K 0.08%
1,360
– –
OEF icon
40
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$538K 0.07%
1,616
+6
+0.4% +$1.91K
GVI icon
41
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$515K 0.07%
4,797
+4
+0.1% +$427
DFAT icon
42
Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF
DFAT
$14.5B
$505K 0.07%
8,672
– –
GBIL icon
43
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.68B
$481K 0.07%
+4,795
New +$480K
IEI icon
44
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$464K 0.06%
3,878
– –
GOOGL icon
45
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.23T
$461K 0.06%
1,895
+714
+60% +$150K
ETN icon
46
Eaton
ETN
$155B
$459K 0.06%
1,226
– –
ACWI icon
47
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$450K 0.06%
3,253
– –
IJR icon
48
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$422K 0.06%
3,554
-72
-2% -$8.28K
TSLA icon
49
Tesla
TSLA
$1.43T
$377K 0.05%
847
– –
HIG icon
50
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$38.4B
$367K 0.05%
2,750
– –
1
2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, High Probability Advisors held 65 positions worth $729M, up 9.1% from $669M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $25.1M of net new capital in Q3 2025, opening 5 new positions and adding to 33 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 4,795 shares worth $481K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 0.34% of assets, up from 0.26% a quarter earlier, followed by Real Estate and Financials.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, an estimated $423K trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q3 2025 buy was Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF: 4,795 shares worth $481K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, cutting an estimated $423K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $729M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 5 new positions and closed 0 in Q3 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 9.1% quarter-over-quarter to $729M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Oct 2025.