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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+7.77%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$669M
AUM Growth
+$69.1M
Cap. Flow
+$23.1M
Cap. Flow %
3.46%
Top 10 Hldgs %
67.08%
Holding
61
New
6
Increased
25
Reduced
12
Closed
1

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$6.15M
2
AVUV icon
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
+$4.84M
3
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$3.97M
4
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$3.83M
5
FVAL icon
Fidelity Value Factor ETF
FVAL
+$2.22M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$2.72M
2
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$2.38M
3
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$1.3M
4
FNDC icon
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
+$915K
5
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$303K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 0.36%
2 Technology 0.26%
3 Industrials 0.15%
4 Financials 0.15%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.08%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SPY icon
26
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.69M 0.25%
2,728
-97
-3% -$55.4K
IXUS icon
27
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$1.53M 0.23%
19,741
-3,455
-15% -$252K
IWD icon
28
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.19M 0.18%
6,116
– –
BNL icon
29
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$1.12M 0.17%
69,909
-12,319
-15% -$197K
DFAC icon
30
Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF
DFAC
$47.4B
$1.1M 0.17%
30,825
-49
-0.2% -$1.64K
ACWX icon
31
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$969K 0.15%
15,908
– –
AAPL icon
32
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$924K 0.14%
4,504
+346
+8% +$69.9K
SPMD icon
33
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$913K 0.14%
16,782
+427
+3% +$22K
SCHB icon
34
Schwab US Broad Market ETF
SCHB
$43B
$866K 0.13%
36,325
+3,271
+10% +$72.1K
MSFT icon
35
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
$820K 0.12%
1,648
+3
+0.2% +$1.3K
IWM icon
36
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$707K 0.11%
3,275
– –
AVB icon
37
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
$675K 0.1%
3,318
– –
IVV icon
38
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
IVV
$881B
$661K 0.1%
+1,064
New +$611K
TT icon
39
Trane Technologies
TT
$104B
$595K 0.09%
1,360
– –
GVI icon
40
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$512K 0.08%
4,793
+42
+0.9% +$4.44K
OEF icon
41
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$490K 0.07%
1,610
– –
DFAT icon
42
Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF
DFAT
$14.5B
$468K 0.07%
8,672
– –
IEI icon
43
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$462K 0.07%
3,878
-1,012
-21% -$119K
ETN icon
44
Eaton
ETN
$155B
$438K 0.07%
1,226
– –
ACWI icon
45
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$418K 0.06%
3,253
– –
IJR icon
46
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$396K 0.06%
3,626
– –
HIG icon
47
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$38.4B
$349K 0.05%
2,750
– –
MAA icon
48
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
$343K 0.05%
2,318
– –
SUSA icon
49
iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF
SUSA
$4.01B
$327K 0.05%
2,580
+112
+5% +$13.2K
IRT icon
50
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
$294K 0.04%
16,645
– –
1
2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q2 2025, High Probability Advisors held 61 positions worth $669M, up 12% from $600M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $23.1M of net new capital in Q2 2025, opening 6 new positions and adding to 25 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was iShares Core S&P 500 ETF: 1,064 shares worth $661K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.36% of assets, down from 0.48% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF, an estimated $2.72M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q2 2025 buy was iShares Core S&P 500 ETF: 1,064 shares worth $661K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF in Q2 2025, an estimated $6.15M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF, cutting an estimated $2.72M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited UnitedHealth in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $252K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $669M portfolio in Q2 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 6 new positions and closed 1 in Q2 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 12% quarter-over-quarter to $669M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 9 Jul 2025.