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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+5.37%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$269M
AUM Growth
+$22.5M
Cap. Flow
+$9.79M
Cap. Flow %
3.63%
Top 10 Hldgs %
76.7%
Holding
42
New
3
Increased
28
Reduced
1
Closed
1

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$1.67M
2
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.14M
3
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$992K
4
VTEB icon
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
+$913K
5
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$711K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
TLT icon
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT
+$206K
2
REZ icon
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
+$29.6K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 3.21%
2 Technology 0.5%
3 Consumer Discretionary 0.13%
4 Healthcare 0.08%
5 Industrials 0.08%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
MDY icon
26
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$27.3B
$567K 0.21%
1,092
+42
+4% +$21.4K
GVI icon
27
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$544K 0.2%
4,780
+197
+4% +$22.5K
IRT icon
28
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
$430K 0.16%
16,645
– –
IJR icon
29
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$421K 0.16%
3,678
– –
MAA icon
30
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
$397K 0.15%
1,729
+30
+2% +$6.2K
IWV icon
31
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$392K 0.15%
1,414
– –
HD icon
32
Home Depot
HD
$338B
$358K 0.13%
863
+40
+5% +$15.2K
OEF icon
33
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$353K 0.13%
1,610
– –
ACWI icon
34
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$344K 0.13%
3,253
– –
AVB icon
35
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
$334K 0.12%
1,322
– –
SCHA icon
36
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
$22.7B
$226K 0.08%
8,840
– –
PFE icon
37
Pfizer
PFE
$143B
$226K 0.08%
+3,827
New +$190K
PAPR icon
38
Innovator US Equity Power Buffer ETF April
PAPR
$950M
$213K 0.08%
7,256
– –
AIRC
39
DELISTED
Apartment Income REIT Corp.
AIRC
$209K 0.08%
+3,831
New +$200K
TLH icon
40
iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLH
$11.1B
$206K 0.08%
1,390
+7
+0.5% +$1.04K
TT icon
41
Trane Technologies
TT
$104B
$202K 0.08%
+1,000
New +$188K
TLT icon
42
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
TLT
$42.1B
– –
-1,427
Closed -$206K
1
2

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2021 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2021, High Probability Advisors held 42 positions worth $269M, up 9.1% from $247M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 77% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $9.79M of net new capital in Q4 2021, opening 3 new positions and adding to 28 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Apartment Income REIT Corp.: 3,831 shares worth $209K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 3.2% of assets, down from 3.3% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Consumer Discretionary.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF, an estimated $29.6K trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q4 2021 buy was Apartment Income REIT Corp.: 3,831 shares worth $209K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF in Q4 2021, an estimated $1.67M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2021 reduction was iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF, cutting an estimated $29.6K.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF in Q4 2021, selling an estimated $206K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 77% of its $269M portfolio in Q4 2021.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 1 in Q4 2021.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 9.1% quarter-over-quarter to $269M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2021, filed 14 Nov 2024.