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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-0.13%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$600M
AUM Growth
+$41.8M
Cap. Flow
+$44M
Cap. Flow %
7.33%
Top 10 Hldgs %
66.99%
Holding
56
New
1
Increased
25
Reduced
11
Closed
1

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
SCHR
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
+$18.5M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$11.1M
3
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$3.52M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$2.15M
5
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$1.99M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
AVEM icon
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
AVEM
+$1.71M
2
DIHP icon
Dimensional International High Profitability ETF
DIHP
+$1.36M
3
GSIE icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta International Equity ETF
GSIE
+$1.13M
4
IVLU icon
iShares MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF
IVLU
+$810K
5
FNDC icon
Schwab Fundamental International Small Company Index ETF
FNDC
+$532K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 0.48%
2 Technology 0.26%
3 Industrials 0.13%
4 Financials 0.06%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
IXUS icon
26
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$1.62M 0.27%
23,196
+881
+4% +$61.1K
SPY icon
27
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.58M 0.26%
2,825
-1
-0% -$588
BNL icon
28
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$4.37B
$1.4M 0.23%
82,228
-6,535
-7% -$106K
IWD icon
29
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.15M 0.19%
6,116
– –
DFAC icon
30
Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF
DFAC
$47.4B
$1.02M 0.17%
30,874
-39
-0.1% -$1.35K
AAPL icon
31
Apple
AAPL
$4.9T
$924K 0.15%
4,158
-744
-15% -$172K
ACWX icon
32
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$882K 0.15%
15,908
– –
SPMD icon
33
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$837K 0.14%
16,355
+1,828
+13% +$99.6K
AVB icon
34
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.4B
$712K 0.12%
3,318
– –
SCHB icon
35
Schwab US Broad Market ETF
SCHB
$43B
$712K 0.12%
33,054
+1,506
+5% +$34.3K
IWM icon
36
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$653K 0.11%
3,275
– –
MSFT icon
37
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.93T
$618K 0.1%
1,645
– –
IEI icon
38
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$18.2B
$578K 0.1%
4,890
-3,500
-42% -$408K
GVI icon
39
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$504K 0.08%
4,751
+27
+0.6% +$2.83K
TT icon
40
Trane Technologies
TT
$104B
$458K 0.08%
1,360
– –
DFAT icon
41
Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF
DFAT
$14.5B
$447K 0.07%
8,672
– –
OEF icon
42
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$436K 0.07%
1,610
– –
MAA icon
43
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.5B
$388K 0.06%
2,318
– –
IJR icon
44
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$379K 0.06%
3,626
-83
-2% -$9.37K
ACWI icon
45
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$379K 0.06%
3,253
– –
IRT icon
46
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.92B
$353K 0.06%
16,645
– –
HIG icon
47
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$38.4B
$340K 0.06%
2,750
– –
ETN icon
48
Eaton
ETN
$155B
$333K 0.06%
1,226
– –
HD icon
49
Home Depot
HD
$338B
$286K 0.05%
781
+1
+0.1% +$390
SUSA icon
50
iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF
SUSA
$4.01B
$283K 0.05%
+2,468
New +$299K
1
2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2025, High Probability Advisors held 56 positions worth $600M, up 7.5% from $558M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 67% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors deployed $44M of net new capital in Q1 2025, opening 1 new position and adding to 25 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF: 2,468 shares worth $283K.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.48% of assets, down from 0.51% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

On the sell side, the largest reduction was Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF, an estimated $1.71M trimmed.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2025 buy was iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF: 2,468 shares worth $283K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF in Q1 2025, an estimated $18.5M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF, cutting an estimated $1.71M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Alphabet (Google) Class A in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $261K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 67% of its $600M portfolio in Q1 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 1 new position and closed 1 in Q1 2025.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $600M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 16 Apr 2025.