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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
-1.83%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$558M
AUM Growth
-$29.5M
Cap. Flow
-$17.2M
Cap. Flow %
-3.07%
Top 10 Hldgs %
67.52%
Holding
57
New
–
Increased
23
Reduced
17
Closed
2

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$2.24M
2
MTUM icon
iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF
MTUM
+$2.03M
3
DYNF icon
BlackRock US Equity Factor Rotation ETF
DYNF
+$1.52M
4
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$1.31M
5
SPTL icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
SPTL
+$856K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$9.99M
2
SCHR
Schwab Intermediately-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHR
+$6.12M
3
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$5.71M
4
VTEB icon
Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund
VTEB
+$1.67M
5
GVI icon
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
+$1.57M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Miscellaneous 98.79%
2 Real Estate 0.51%
3 Technology 0.34%
4 Industrials 0.16%
5 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
REZ icon
26
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$803M
$1.52M 0.27%
18,808
-6,962
-27% -$597K
IXUS icon
27
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$59.6B
$1.48M 0.26%
22,315
+2,710
+14% +$188K
BNL icon
28
Broadstone Net Lease
BNL
$3.69B
$1.41M 0.25%
88,763
-80,444
-48% -$1.4M
AAPL icon
29
Apple
AAPL
$4.91T
$1.23M 0.22%
4,902
-48
-1% -$11.3K
IWD icon
30
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$82.2B
$1.13M 0.2%
6,116
– –
DFAC icon
31
Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF
DFAC
$48.6B
$1.07M 0.19%
30,913
+100
+0.3% +$3.52K
IEI icon
32
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
$17.2B
$969K 0.17%
8,390
-85,564
-91% -$9.99M
ACWX icon
33
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$12.3B
$830K 0.15%
15,908
– –
SPMD icon
34
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$794K 0.14%
14,527
+1,335
+10% +$75.1K
AVB
35
DELISTED
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$730K 0.13%
3,318
+895
+37% +$202K
IWM icon
36
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$76.6B
$724K 0.13%
3,275
– –
SCHB icon
37
Schwab US Broad Market ETF
SCHB
$44.4B
$716K 0.13%
31,548
+18,903
+149% +$432K
MSFT icon
38
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.67T
$693K 0.12%
1,645
+6
+0.4% +$2.56K
TT icon
39
Trane Technologies
TT
$94.4B
$502K 0.09%
1,360
– –
GVI icon
40
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.75B
$492K 0.09%
4,724
-14,911
-76% -$1.57M
DFAT icon
41
Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF
DFAT
$14.1B
$483K 0.09%
8,672
– –
OEF icon
42
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.3B
$465K 0.08%
1,610
– –
IJR icon
43
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$105B
$427K 0.08%
3,709
-141
-4% -$16.8K
ETN icon
44
Eaton
ETN
$165B
$407K 0.07%
1,226
– –
ACWI icon
45
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.9B
$382K 0.07%
3,253
– –
MAA icon
46
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$13.8B
$358K 0.06%
2,318
– –
IRT icon
47
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$3.49B
$330K 0.06%
16,645
– –
HD icon
48
Home Depot
HD
$299B
$303K 0.05%
780
+2
+0.3% +$817
HIG icon
49
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$35.7B
$301K 0.05%
2,750
– –
DFUV icon
50
Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF
DFUV
$15.5B
$272K 0.05%
6,646
– –
1
2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, High Probability Advisors held 57 positions worth $558M, down 5% from $587M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 68% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors withdrew a net $17.2M in Q4 2024, closing 2 positions and reducing 17 holdings. Its most notable exit was Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF, an estimated $431K position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Miscellaneous at 99% of assets, up from 99% a quarter earlier, followed by Real Estate and Technology.

Against the trend, High Probability Advisors added an estimated $2.24M to Dimensional US High Profitability ETF.

  • High Probability Advisors added most to Dimensional US High Profitability ETF in Q4 2024, an estimated $2.24M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF, cutting an estimated $9.99M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $431K.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 68% of its $558M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 0 new positions and closed 2 in Q4 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value fell 5% quarter-over-quarter to $558M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 17 Jan 2025.