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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$539M
AUM Growth
+$43.6M
Cap. Flow
+$12.3M
Cap. Flow %
2.29%
Top 10 Hldgs %
69.5%
Holding
60
New
6
Increased
27
Reduced
8
Closed
4

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AVUV icon
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
AVUV
+$18.3M
2
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$2.64M
3
SCHO icon
Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF
SCHO
+$2.33M
4
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$2.04M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$1.67M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SLYV icon
State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF
SLYV
+$18.7M
2
VGIT icon
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
VGIT
+$2.23M
3
GVI icon
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
+$1.86M
4
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$671K
5
FLRN icon
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
+$336K

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 0.75%
2 Technology 0.26%
3 Industrials 0.15%
4 Consumer Discretionary 0.06%
5 Financials 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
IWV icon
26
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$1.6M 0.3%
5,328
-500
-9% -$143K
IXUS icon
27
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$1.43M 0.26%
21,004
+778
+4% +$50.8K
GVI icon
28
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
$3.74B
$1.13M 0.21%
10,860
-17,856
-62% -$1.86M
IWD icon
29
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.1M 0.2%
6,116
– –
DFAC icon
30
Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF
DFAC
$47.4B
$1,000K 0.19%
+31,293
New +$945K
ACWX icon
31
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$849K 0.16%
15,908
-340
-2% -$17.5K
AAPL icon
32
Apple
AAPL
$4.89T
$721K 0.13%
4,202
+1
+0% +$182
MSFT icon
33
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.98T
$690K 0.13%
1,639
-68
-4% -$27.5K
IWM icon
34
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$689K 0.13%
3,275
– –
SPMD icon
35
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$602K 0.11%
11,282
+290
+3% +$14.4K
IJR icon
36
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$595K 0.11%
5,388
– –
GBIL icon
37
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.68B
$541K 0.1%
5,361
+882
+20% +$88.2K
DFAT icon
38
Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF
DFAT
$14.5B
$472K 0.09%
+8,672
New +$446K
AVB icon
39
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.8B
$450K 0.08%
2,423
– –
TT icon
40
Trane Technologies
TT
$105B
$408K 0.08%
1,360
– –
OEF icon
41
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$398K 0.07%
1,610
– –
ETN icon
42
Eaton
ETN
$154B
$383K 0.07%
1,226
– –
BIV icon
43
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF
BIV
$29.1B
$364K 0.07%
+4,828
New +$364K
ACWI icon
44
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$358K 0.07%
3,253
– –
VTI icon
45
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$658B
$345K 0.06%
1,326
+114
+9% +$28.2K
MAA icon
46
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.7B
$305K 0.06%
2,318
– –
HD icon
47
Home Depot
HD
$347B
$297K 0.06%
775
+2
+0.3% +$731
AIRC
48
DELISTED
Apartment Income REIT Corp.
AIRC
$289K 0.05%
8,899
– –
HIG icon
49
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
$37.5B
$283K 0.05%
2,750
– –
DFUV icon
50
Dimensional US Marketwide Value ETF
DFUV
$15.2B
$272K 0.05%
+6,646
New +$254K
1
2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q1 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q1 2024, High Probability Advisors held 60 positions worth $539M, up 8.8% from $496M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 69% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors's Q1 2024 filing shows 6 new, 27 increased, 8 reduced and 4 closed positions. Its largest new stake was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF: 207,098 shares worth $19.4M. The largest sale was State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF, an estimated $18.7M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.75% of assets, down from 0.89% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q1 2024 buy was Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF: 207,098 shares worth $19.4M.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF in Q1 2024, an estimated $2.64M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q1 2024 reduction was iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF, cutting an estimated $1.86M.
  • High Probability Advisors fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Value ETF in Q1 2024, selling an estimated $18.7M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 69% of its $539M portfolio in Q1 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 6 new positions and closed 4 in Q1 2024.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 8.8% quarter-over-quarter to $539M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q1 2024, filed 14 Nov 2024.