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HPA

High Probability Advisors Portfolio holdings

AUM $935M
1-Year Est. Return 18.66%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+9.14%
1 Year Est. Return
+18.66%
3 Year Est. Return
+49.74%
5 Year Est. Return
+44.11%
10 Year Est. Return
–
AUM
$496M
AUM Growth
+$31.7M
Cap. Flow
-$9.54M
Cap. Flow %
-1.93%
Top 10 Hldgs %
68.7%
Holding
54
New
3
Increased
12
Reduced
26
Closed
–

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
GVI icon
iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF
GVI
+$2.16M
2
VGIT icon
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
VGIT
+$1.7M
3
HIG icon
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
+$207K
4
SUB icon
iShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF
SUB
+$200K
5
SCHA icon
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
SCHA
+$186K

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
GSLC icon
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF
GSLC
+$2.64M
2
NYF icon
iShares New York Muni Bond ETF
NYF
+$1.91M
3
DUHP icon
Dimensional US High Profitability ETF
DUHP
+$1.4M
4
IEI icon
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
IEI
+$1.16M
5
SPIB icon
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF
SPIB
+$1.09M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Real Estate 0.89%
2 Technology 0.29%
3 Industrials 0.13%
4 Consumer Discretionary 0.05%
5 Healthcare 0.05%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
REZ icon
26
iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF
REZ
$905M
$1.89M 0.38%
25,686
+894
+4% +$60.1K
IWV icon
27
iShares Russell 3000 ETF
IWV
$19.6B
$1.6M 0.32%
5,828
-678
-10% -$173K
SPY icon
28
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$774B
$1.56M 0.31%
3,281
-38
-1% -$16.9K
IXUS icon
29
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
IXUS
$57.4B
$1.31M 0.27%
20,226
+1,336
+7% +$81.8K
IWD icon
30
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF
IWD
$81.9B
$1.01M 0.2%
6,116
-71
-1% -$11K
ACWX icon
31
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF
ACWX
$11.3B
$829K 0.17%
16,248
-11,153
-41% -$537K
AAPL icon
32
Apple
AAPL
$4.89T
$809K 0.16%
4,201
+2
+0% +$369
IWM icon
33
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$82.2B
$657K 0.13%
3,275
-14
-0.4% -$2.51K
MSFT icon
34
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.98T
$642K 0.13%
1,707
– –
IJR icon
35
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
IJR
$110B
$583K 0.12%
5,388
– –
SPMD icon
36
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF
SPMD
$18.1B
$536K 0.11%
10,992
+613
+6% +$27.3K
AVB icon
37
AvalonBay Communities
AVB
$27.8B
$454K 0.09%
2,423
– –
GBIL icon
38
Goldman Sachs Access Treasury 0-1 Year ETF
GBIL
$7.68B
$447K 0.09%
4,479
-3,394
-43% -$339K
OEF icon
39
iShares S&P 100 ETF
OEF
$20.1B
$360K 0.07%
1,610
– –
FLRN icon
40
State Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF
FLRN
$3.07B
$336K 0.07%
10,972
+18
+0.2% +$551
TT icon
41
Trane Technologies
TT
$105B
$332K 0.07%
1,360
– –
ACWI icon
42
iShares MSCI ACWI ETF
ACWI
$32.8B
$331K 0.07%
3,253
– –
MAA icon
43
Mid-America Apartment Communities
MAA
$15.7B
$312K 0.06%
2,318
– –
AIRC
44
DELISTED
Apartment Income REIT Corp.
AIRC
$309K 0.06%
8,899
– –
ETN icon
45
Eaton
ETN
$154B
$295K 0.06%
1,226
– –
VTI icon
46
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
VTI
$658B
$287K 0.06%
1,212
-17
-1% -$3.76K
HD icon
47
Home Depot
HD
$347B
$268K 0.05%
773
+1
+0.1% +$310
UNH icon
48
UnitedHealth
UNH
$384B
$268K 0.05%
509
– –
IRT icon
49
Independence Realty Trust
IRT
$4B
$255K 0.05%
16,645
– –
MDY icon
50
State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust
MDY
$27.3B
$223K 0.05%
440
– –
1
2
3

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High Probability Advisors's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2023, High Probability Advisors held 54 positions worth $496M, up 6.8% from $464M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 69% of the portfolio.

High Probability Advisors's Q4 2023 filing shows 3 new, 12 increased and 26 reduced positions. Its largest new stake was Hartford Financial Services: 2,750 shares worth $221K. The largest sale was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF, an estimated $2.64M.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Real Estate at 0.89% of assets, up from 0.81% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.

  • High Probability Advisors's largest Q4 2023 buy was Hartford Financial Services: 2,750 shares worth $221K.
  • High Probability Advisors added most to iShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF in Q4 2023, an estimated $2.16M increase.
  • High Probability Advisors's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US Large Cap Equity ETF, cutting an estimated $2.64M.
  • High Probability Advisors's ten largest holdings make up 69% of its $496M portfolio in Q4 2023.
  • High Probability Advisors opened 3 new positions and closed 0 in Q4 2023.
  • High Probability Advisors's portfolio value rose 6.8% quarter-over-quarter to $496M.

Based on High Probability Advisors's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Nov 2024.