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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-3.38%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$43.6M
AUM Growth
-$446M
(-91%)
Cap. Flow
-$442M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-1,013.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
28.16%
Holding
580
New
77
Increased
4
Reduced
27
Closed
472
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.24M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.13M |
| 3 |
NuScale Power
SMR
|
+$1.11M |
| 4 |
Trade Desk
TTD
|
+$1.02M |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$910K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.39M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.35M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$4.97M |
| 4 |
Robinhood
HOOD
|
+$4.87M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.81M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.63% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.02% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 12.94% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.11% |
| 5 | Industrials | 9.67% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.83T
| $2.05M | 4.69% |
4,235
-7,965
| -65% | -$3.99M |
|
2
NVIDIA
NVDA
$5.06T
| $1.6M | 3.68% |
8,600
-2,900
| -25% | -$540K |
|
|
3
TSMC
TSM
$2.16T
| $1.56M | 3.58% |
5,141
+3,841
| +295% | +$1.13M |
|
|
4
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
$930B
| $1.29M | 2.95% |
+4,000
| New | +$1.24M |
|
5
Netflix
NFLX
$287B
| $1.23M | 2.81% |
13,100
-19,900
| -60% | -$2.15M |
|
6
DexCom
DXCM
$27.2B
| $954K | 2.19% |
14,381
+4,981
| +53% | +$322K |
|
|
7
Microchip Technology
MCHP
$44.2B
| $940K | 2.15% |
+14,750
| New | +$910K |
|
8
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.54T
| $928K | 2.13% |
1,406
-6,794
| -83% | -$4.54M |
|
|
9
Trade Desk
TTD
$7.89B
| $873K | 2% |
+23,000
| New | +$1.02M |
|
10
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$81.2B
| $862K | 1.97% |
+3,500
| New | +$860K |
|
11
Mondelez International
MDLZ
$77.1B
| $845K | 1.94% |
+15,700
| New | +$904K |
|
12
Walt Disney
DIS
$161B
| $765K | 1.75% |
6,721
-22,579
| -77% | -$2.49M |
|
13
Abbott
ABT
$175B
| $764K | 1.75% |
+6,100
| New | +$777K |
|
14
Cooper Companies
COO
$13.7B
| $738K | 1.69% |
+9,000
| New | +$674K |
|
15
State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF
KRE
$4.82B
| $726K | 1.66% |
+11,200
| New | +$704K |
|
16
Equifax
EFX
$19.6B
| $692K | 1.59% |
+3,189
| New | +$698K |
|
17
Pinterest
PINS
$12.3B
| $689K | 1.58% |
26,600
-7,000
| -21% | -$202K |
|
18
lululemon athletica
LULU
$12.6B
| $656K | 1.5% |
+3,158
| New | +$572K |
|
19
Carrier Global
CARR
$57.4B
| $608K | 1.39% |
+11,500
| New | +$639K |
|
|
EXAS
20
DELISTED
Exact Sciences
EXAS
| $601K | 1.38% |
+5,922
| New | +$476K |
|
21
CVS Health
CVS
$136B
| $575K | 1.32% |
7,248
-10,552
| -59% | -$832K |
|
22
Paychex
PAYX
$39.4B
| $568K | 1.3% |
5,065
-23,035
| -82% | -$2.7M |
|
23
Copart
CPRT
$25.2B
| $559K | 1.28% |
+14,290
| New | +$593K |
|
|
SEE
24
DELISTED
Sealed Air
SEE
| $552K | 1.26% |
13,318
-5,181
| -28% | -$200K |
|
|
25
NuScale Power
SMR
$3.05B
| $551K | 1.26% |
+38,889
| New | +$1.11M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 580 positions worth $43.6M, down 91% from $490M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 28% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $442M in Q4 2025, closing 472 positions and reducing 27 holdings. Its most notable exit was Boston Scientific, an estimated $5.39M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, down from 27% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in JPMorgan Chase worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2025 buy was JPMorgan Chase: 4,000 shares worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to TSMC in Q4 2025, an estimated $1.13M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2025 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $4.54M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Boston Scientific in Q4 2025, selling an estimated $5.39M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 28% of its $43.6M portfolio in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 77 new positions and closed 472 in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 91% quarter-over-quarter to $43.6M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2025, filed 17 Feb 2026.