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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Avg Time Held
0.2
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.2
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.88% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Qualcomm
QCOM
$185B
| $27.6M | 2.93% |
191,000
+110,600
| +138% | +$13.7M |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
|
2
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$804B
| $21.5M | 2.28% |
+45,200
| New | +$20.1M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
|
3
Alibaba
BABA
$271B
| $20.7M | 2.2% |
267,634
+254,534
| +1,943% | +$20.3M |
2022 Q3
5 quarters
|
|
4
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.91T
| $18.2M | 1.94% |
48,500
+18,200
| +60% | +$6.48M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
5
Micron Technology
MU
$1T
| $15.8M | 1.68% |
185,200
+56,300
| +44% | +$4.18M |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
6
CVS Health
CVS
$118B
| $13.5M | 1.44% |
171,400
-48,100
| -22% | -$3.42M |
2022 Q4
4 quarters
|
|
7
Salesforce
CRM
$198B
| $13M | 1.38% |
49,300
-15,200
| -24% | -$3.44M |
2023 Q1
3 quarters
|
|
8
Intel
INTC
$476B
| $12.7M | 1.35% |
253,400
-30,080
| -11% | -$1.22M |
2023 Q1
3 quarters
|
|
|
9
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.8T
| $11.5M | 1.22% |
32,539
-58,061
| -64% | -$18.9M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
|
10
Datadog
DDOG
$88.4B
| $11.3M | 1.2% |
+93,138
| New | +$9.59M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
11
International Flavors & Fragrances
IFF
$23B
| $9.32M | 0.99% |
+115,061
| New | +$8.32M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
12
Target
TGT
$69.7B
| $8.76M | 0.93% |
61,500
+16,400
| +36% | +$2M |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
|
13
ExxonMobil
XOM
$734B
| $8.3M | 0.88% |
+83,000
| New | +$8.72M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
14
Intuitive Surgical
ISRG
$151B
| $8.27M | 0.88% |
+24,520
| New | +$7.31M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
15
Procter & Gamble
PG
$369B
| $7.74M | 0.82% |
52,840
+15,900
| +43% | +$2.35M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
16
Xcel Energy
XEL
$47.5B
| $7.23M | 0.77% |
116,846
-4,519
| -4% | -$271K |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
17
Workday
WDAY
$45.9B
| $6.94M | 0.74% |
25,154
+3,479
| +16% | +$828K |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
18
DexCom
DXCM
$32.4B
| $6.71M | 0.71% |
54,036
+20,000
| +59% | +$2.04M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
19
HP
HPQ
$26.9B
| $6.64M | 0.71% |
+220,800
| New | +$6.18M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
20
Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMG
$37.8B
| $6.5M | 0.69% |
+142,050
| New | +$5.91M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
21
IBM
IBM
$218B
| $6.44M | 0.68% |
+39,388
| New | +$5.95M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
22
Abbott
ABT
$181B
| $6.11M | 0.65% |
55,544
+49,944
| +892% | +$4.99M |
2023 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
23
Southern Company
SO
$105B
| $6.01M | 0.64% |
+85,719
| New | +$5.89M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
24
Amazon
AMZN
$2.69T
| $5.93M | 0.63% |
+39,000
| New | +$5.47M |
2023 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
25
VICI Properties
VICI
$26B
| $5.9M | 0.63% |
185,075
+49,500
| +37% | +$1.45M |
2023 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.