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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+17.28%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$942M
AUM Growth
+$65.9M
(+7.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$40.6M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-4.31%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
17.62%
Holding
1,095
New
434
Increased
124
Reduced
144
Closed
391
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$20.3M |
| 2 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$20.1M |
| 3 |
Qualcomm
QCOM
|
+$13.7M |
| 4 |
Datadog
DDOG
|
+$9.59M |
| 5 |
ExxonMobil
XOM
|
+$8.72M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$20M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$18.9M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$11.5M |
| 4 |
Skyworks Solutions
SWKS
|
+$9.77M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$9.74M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.27% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.98% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.92% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.55% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.97% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Qualcomm
QCOM
$176B
| $27.6M | 2.93% |
191,000
+110,600
| +138% | +$13.7M |
|
|
2
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$827B
| $21.5M | 2.28% |
+45,200
| New | +$20.1M |
|
|
3
Alibaba
BABA
$279B
| $20.7M | 2.2% |
267,634
+254,534
| +1,943% | +$20.3M |
|
4
Microsoft
MSFT
$3.75T
| $18.2M | 1.94% |
48,500
+18,200
| +60% | +$6.48M |
|
5
Micron Technology
MU
$1.06T
| $15.8M | 1.68% |
185,200
+56,300
| +44% | +$4.18M |
|
6
CVS Health
CVS
$119B
| $13.5M | 1.44% |
171,400
-48,100
| -22% | -$3.42M |
|
7
Salesforce
CRM
$206B
| $13M | 1.38% |
49,300
-15,200
| -24% | -$3.44M |
|
8
Intel
INTC
$487B
| $12.7M | 1.35% |
253,400
-30,080
| -11% | -$1.22M |
|
|
9
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.45T
| $11.5M | 1.22% |
32,539
-58,061
| -64% | -$18.9M |
|
|
10
Datadog
DDOG
$87.2B
| $11.3M | 1.2% |
+93,138
| New | +$9.59M |
|
11
International Flavors & Fragrances
IFF
$22.2B
| $9.32M | 0.99% |
+115,061
| New | +$8.32M |
|
12
Target
TGT
$75.4B
| $8.76M | 0.93% |
61,500
+16,400
| +36% | +$2M |
|
|
13
ExxonMobil
XOM
$643B
| $8.3M | 0.88% |
+83,000
| New | +$8.72M |
|
14
Intuitive Surgical
ISRG
$130B
| $8.27M | 0.88% |
+24,520
| New | +$7.31M |
|
15
Procter & Gamble
PG
$333B
| $7.74M | 0.82% |
52,840
+15,900
| +43% | +$2.35M |
|
16
Xcel Energy
XEL
$48.2B
| $7.23M | 0.77% |
116,846
-4,519
| -4% | -$271K |
|
17
Workday
WDAY
$47.8B
| $6.94M | 0.74% |
25,154
+3,479
| +16% | +$828K |
|
18
DexCom
DXCM
$33.7B
| $6.71M | 0.71% |
54,036
+20,000
| +59% | +$2.04M |
|
19
HP
HPQ
$27.1B
| $6.64M | 0.71% |
+220,800
| New | +$6.18M |
|
20
Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMG
$47.1B
| $6.5M | 0.69% |
+142,050
| New | +$5.91M |
|
21
IBM
IBM
$225B
| $6.44M | 0.68% |
+39,388
| New | +$5.95M |
|
22
Abbott
ABT
$193B
| $6.11M | 0.65% |
55,544
+49,944
| +892% | +$4.99M |
|
23
Southern Company
SO
$102B
| $6.01M | 0.64% |
+85,719
| New | +$5.89M |
|
24
Amazon
AMZN
$2.76T
| $5.93M | 0.63% |
+39,000
| New | +$5.47M |
|
25
VICI Properties
VICI
$28.4B
| $5.9M | 0.63% |
185,075
+49,500
| +37% | +$1.45M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2023 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2023, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,095 positions worth $942M, up 7.5% from $876M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $40.6M in Q4 2023, closing 391 positions and reducing 144 holdings. Its most notable exit was Palo Alto Networks, an estimated $20M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2023 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 45,200 shares worth $21.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Alibaba in Q4 2023, an estimated $20.3M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2023 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $18.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Palo Alto Networks in Q4 2023, selling an estimated $20M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $942M portfolio in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 434 new positions and closed 391 in Q4 2023.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 7.5% quarter-over-quarter to $942M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2023, filed 14 Feb 2024.