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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
(-6.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-18.47%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Avg Time Held
0.3
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.37M |
| 2 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$5.24M |
| 3 |
PayPal
PYPL
|
+$5.12M |
| 4 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$4.77M |
| 5 |
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
|
+$4.74M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$14.9M |
| 2 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$11.5M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$7.38M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$7.33M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.35M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 19.29% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.97% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 13.78% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.15% |
| 5 | Miscellaneous | 9.8% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$76.1B
| $12.7M | 3.33% |
65,000
+18,280
| +39% | +$3.2M |
2019 Q4
4 quarters
|
|
|
2
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$804B
| $10.9M | 2.85% |
29,200
+26,400
| +943% | +$9.37M |
2020 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
|
3
Boeing
BA
$150B
| $8.37M | 2.19% |
39,100
+24,800
| +173% | +$4.77M |
2020 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
|
4
Micron Technology
MU
$1T
| $6.53M | 1.71% |
+86,900
| New | +$5.24M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
5
Charter Communications
CHTR
$12.6B
| $6.33M | 1.65% |
9,568
+4,848
| +103% | +$3.09M |
2020 Q1
3 quarters
|
|
|
6
PayPal
PYPL
$48.5B
| $5.79M | 1.51% |
+24,700
| New | +$5.12M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
7
DELISTED
Paramount Global Class B
PARA
| $5.07M | 1.32% |
+136,100
| New | +$4.37M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
|
8
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$616B
| $5.05M | 1.32% |
+32,100
| New | +$4.74M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
9
Tesla
TSLA
$1.39T
| $4.81M | 1.26% |
20,460
-5,100
| -20% | -$870K |
2020 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
10
Boston Scientific
BSX
$64.1B
| $4.76M | 1.24% |
132,300
+80,700
| +156% | +$2.91M |
2019 Q4
4 quarters
|
|
11
T-Mobile US
TMUS
$171B
| $4.73M | 1.24% |
+35,100
| New | +$4.34M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
12
Accenture
ACN
$138B
| $4.49M | 1.17% |
+17,200
| New | +$4.12M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
13
United Airlines
UAL
$31.3B
| $4.25M | 1.11% |
+98,379
| New | +$3.98M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
14
Altria Group
MO
$125B
| $4.23M | 1.11% |
103,196
+73,996
| +253% | +$2.97M |
2020 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
15
Bristol-Myers Squibb
BMY
$123B
| $3.31M | 0.87% |
53,400
+35,000
| +190% | +$2.15M |
2020 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
16
Qualcomm
QCOM
$185B
| $3.2M | 0.84% |
+21,000
| New | +$2.92M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
17
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$193B
| $3.15M | 0.82% |
54,100
+26,700
| +97% | +$1.61M |
2020 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
18
Dell
DELL
$291B
| $3.03M | 0.79% |
81,485
+63,136
| +344% | +$2.2M |
2020 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
19
Oracle
ORCL
$388B
| $3.01M | 0.79% |
+46,500
| New | +$2.77M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
20
Optimum Communications Inc
OPTU
$350M
| $3M | 0.78% |
79,300
+36,900
| +87% | +$1.16M |
2020 Q3
1 quarter
|
|
21
Lockheed Martin
LMT
$127B
| $2.98M | 0.78% |
+8,400
| New | +$3.09M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
22
Walmart Inc
WMT
$942B
| $2.98M | 0.78% |
62,049
+8,721
| +16% | +$424K |
2018 Q2
10 quarters
|
|
|
HZNP
23
DELISTED
Horizon Therapeutics Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
HZNP
| $2.85M | 0.74% |
38,900
+16,400
| +73% | +$1.22M |
2020 Q1
3 quarters
|
|
24
O'Reilly Automotive
ORLY
$72.1B
| $2.72M | 0.71% |
+90,045
| New | +$2.72M |
2020 Q4
0 quarters
|
|
|
TIF
25
DELISTED
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
| $2.62M | 0.68% |
19,894
-3,700
| -16% | -$474K |
2020 Q2
2 quarters
|
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.