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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+21.53%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$383M
AUM Growth
-$26.4M
(-6.5%)
Cap. Flow
-$70.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-18.47%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
18.38%
Holding
733
New
236
Increased
90
Reduced
105
Closed
302
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.37M |
| 2 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$5.24M |
| 3 |
PayPal
PYPL
|
+$5.12M |
| 4 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$4.77M |
| 5 |
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
|
+$4.74M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$14.9M |
| 2 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$11.5M |
| 3 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$7.38M |
| 4 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$7.33M |
| 5 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.35M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 19.29% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.97% |
| 3 | Consumer Discretionary | 13.78% |
| 4 | Industrials | 11.12% |
| 5 | Miscellaneous | 9.8% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
$81.9B
| $12.7M | 3.33% |
65,000
+18,280
| +39% | +$3.2M |
|
|
2
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$827B
| $10.9M | 2.85% |
29,200
+26,400
| +943% | +$9.37M |
|
|
3
Boeing
BA
$166B
| $8.37M | 2.19% |
39,100
+24,800
| +173% | +$4.77M |
|
|
4
Micron Technology
MU
$1.06T
| $6.53M | 1.71% |
+86,900
| New | +$5.24M |
|
5
Charter Communications
CHTR
$17.7B
| $6.33M | 1.65% |
9,568
+4,848
| +103% | +$3.09M |
|
|
6
PayPal
PYPL
$52.6B
| $5.79M | 1.51% |
+24,700
| New | +$5.12M |
|
|
PARA
7
DELISTED
Paramount Global Class B
PARA
| $5.07M | 1.32% |
+136,100
| New | +$4.37M |
|
|
8
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$640B
| $5.05M | 1.32% |
+32,100
| New | +$4.74M |
|
9
Tesla
TSLA
$1.4T
| $4.81M | 1.26% |
20,460
-5,100
| -20% | -$870K |
|
10
Boston Scientific
BSX
$67.6B
| $4.76M | 1.24% |
132,300
+80,700
| +156% | +$2.91M |
|
11
T-Mobile US
TMUS
$191B
| $4.73M | 1.24% |
+35,100
| New | +$4.34M |
|
12
Accenture
ACN
$115B
| $4.49M | 1.17% |
+17,200
| New | +$4.12M |
|
13
United Airlines
UAL
$36.5B
| $4.25M | 1.11% |
+98,379
| New | +$3.98M |
|
14
Altria Group
MO
$113B
| $4.23M | 1.11% |
103,196
+73,996
| +253% | +$2.97M |
|
15
Bristol-Myers Squibb
BMY
$137B
| $3.31M | 0.87% |
53,400
+35,000
| +190% | +$2.15M |
|
16
Qualcomm
QCOM
$176B
| $3.2M | 0.84% |
+21,000
| New | +$2.92M |
|
17
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$185B
| $3.15M | 0.82% |
54,100
+26,700
| +97% | +$1.61M |
|
18
Dell
DELL
$305B
| $3.03M | 0.79% |
81,485
+63,136
| +344% | +$2.2M |
|
19
Oracle
ORCL
$438B
| $3.01M | 0.79% |
+46,500
| New | +$2.77M |
|
|
OPTU
20
Optimum Communications Inc
OPTU
$389M
| $3M | 0.78% |
79,300
+36,900
| +87% | +$1.16M |
|
21
Lockheed Martin
LMT
$131B
| $2.98M | 0.78% |
+8,400
| New | +$3.09M |
|
22
Walmart Inc
WMT
$817B
| $2.98M | 0.78% |
62,049
+8,721
| +16% | +$424K |
|
|
HZNP
23
DELISTED
Horizon Therapeutics Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares
HZNP
| $2.85M | 0.74% |
38,900
+16,400
| +73% | +$1.22M |
|
24
O'Reilly Automotive
ORLY
$71.1B
| $2.72M | 0.71% |
+90,045
| New | +$2.72M |
|
|
TIF
25
DELISTED
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
| $2.62M | 0.68% |
19,894
-3,700
| -16% | -$474K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2020 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2020, Bayesian Capital Management held 733 positions worth $383M, down 6.5% from $409M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 18% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $70.7M in Q4 2020, closing 302 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Microsoft, an estimated $14.9M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 19% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Consumer Discretionary.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Micron Technology worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2020 buy was Micron Technology: 86,900 shares worth $6.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2020, an estimated $9.37M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2020 reduction was Zoom, cutting an estimated $5.12M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Microsoft in Q4 2020, selling an estimated $14.9M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 18% of its $383M portfolio in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 236 new positions and closed 302 in Q4 2020.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 6.5% quarter-over-quarter to $383M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2020, filed 12 Feb 2021.