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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-0.68%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$604M
AUM Growth
-$213M
(-26%)
Cap. Flow
-$186M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-30.79%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.62%
Holding
1,036
New
389
Increased
70
Reduced
105
Closed
470
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$12.4M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$10.8M |
| 3 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$9.35M |
| 4 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$7.63M |
| 5 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$7.56M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$15.4M |
| 2 |
Amgen
AMGN
|
+$11.2M |
| 3 |
Salesforce
CRM
|
+$9.62M |
| 4 |
Danaher
DHR
|
+$9.18M |
| 5 |
Union Pacific
UNP
|
+$8.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.33% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 12.02% |
| 4 | Industrials | 10.05% |
| 5 | Consumer Staples | 8.63% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Cisco
CSCO
$445B
| $13.6M | 2.26% |
221,100
+200,700
| +984% | +$12.4M |
|
|
2
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$780B
| $9.96M | 1.65% |
+96,900
| New | +$10.8M |
|
|
3
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$779B
| $8.89M | 1.47% |
+15,900
| New | +$9.35M |
|
4
Philip Morris
PM
$306B
| $8.83M | 1.46% |
55,600
+18,300
| +49% | +$2.59M |
|
|
5
Coca-Cola
KO
$361B
| $8.1M | 1.34% |
+113,150
| New | +$7.56M |
|
6
SLB Ltd
SLB
$77.6B
| $7.99M | 1.32% |
191,100
-1,745
| -0.9% | -$71.5K |
|
|
7
Workday
WDAY
$36.3B
| $6.98M | 1.16% |
+29,900
| New | +$7.63M |
|
8
Boeing
BA
$168B
| $6.29M | 1.04% |
36,900
+3,500
| +10% | +$606K |
|
9
Celsius Holdings
CELH
$7.25B
| $5.83M | 0.96% |
163,584
+133,100
| +437% | +$3.63M |
|
10
Spotify
SPOT
$99.8B
| $5.78M | 0.96% |
10,500
+8,400
| +400% | +$4.69M |
|
11
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$165B
| $5.73M | 0.95% |
51,100
+29,500
| +137% | +$3.04M |
|
12
Intuit
INTU
$84.4B
| $5.71M | 0.94% |
+9,300
| New | +$5.58M |
|
13
Cintas
CTAS
$84.3B
| $5.57M | 0.92% |
+27,100
| New | +$5.4M |
|
|
14
Nike
NKE
$62.4B
| $5.47M | 0.9% |
86,100
-209,000
| -71% | -$15.4M |
|
15
CVS Health
CVS
$136B
| $5.4M | 0.89% |
+79,700
| New | +$4.77M |
|
16
Okta
OKTA
$23.9B
| $5.35M | 0.88% |
50,800
-6,300
| -11% | -$615K |
|
17
US Bancorp
USB
$99.6B
| $5.3M | 0.88% |
+125,600
| New | +$5.79M |
|
18
Lam Research
LRCX
$353B
| $5.26M | 0.87% |
+72,348
| New | +$5.7M |
|
19
Walt Disney
DIS
$169B
| $5.17M | 0.86% |
52,400
+42,937
| +454% | +$4.61M |
|
20
Fortinet
FTNT
$112B
| $5.07M | 0.84% |
+52,700
| New | +$5.34M |
|
21
Veeva Systems
VEEV
$31.6B
| $4.82M | 0.8% |
20,797
+14,797
| +247% | +$3.38M |
|
22
Nucor
NUE
$56.4B
| $4.74M | 0.78% |
+39,400
| New | +$5.08M |
|
23
Tapestry
TPR
$28.9B
| $4.64M | 0.77% |
+65,935
| New | +$4.99M |
|
24
Cencora
COR
$60.8B
| $4.25M | 0.7% |
+15,300
| New | +$3.84M |
|
25
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.53T
| $4.09M | 0.68% |
+7,100
| New | +$4.58M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,036 positions worth $604M, down 26% from $817M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $186M in Q1 2025, closing 470 positions and reducing 105 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amgen, an estimated $11.2M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, up from 23% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Advanced Micro Devices worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2025 buy was Advanced Micro Devices: 96,900 shares worth $9.96M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Cisco in Q1 2025, an estimated $12.4M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2025 reduction was Nike, cutting an estimated $15.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amgen in Q1 2025, selling an estimated $11.2M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $604M portfolio in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 389 new positions and closed 470 in Q1 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 26% quarter-over-quarter to $604M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2025, filed 15 May 2025.