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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-4.39%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$345M
AUM Growth
-$37.4M
(-9.8%)
Cap. Flow
-$19.8M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.72%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
24.56%
Holding
613
New
226
Increased
61
Reduced
75
Closed
251
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$18M |
| 2 |
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
|
+$13.4M |
| 3 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$11.2M |
| 4 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$7.28M |
| 5 |
Costco
COST
|
+$5.08M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Amazon
AMZN
|
+$11.4M |
| 2 |
Tesla
TSLA
|
+$9.05M |
| 3 |
General Mills
GIS
|
+$9.05M |
| 4 |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
IWM
|
+$8.86M |
| 5 |
Boeing
BA
|
+$7.03M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 21.41% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.97% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 10.59% |
| 4 | Healthcare | 10.21% |
| 5 | Financials | 9.11% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$780B
| $17.5M | 5.07% |
+40,800
| New | +$18M |
|
|
2
Invesco QQQ Trust
QQQ
$446B
| $13.1M | 3.78% |
+36,500
| New | +$13.4M |
|
|
3
Micron Technology
MU
$976B
| $10.6M | 3.07% |
+149,600
| New | +$11.2M |
|
4
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
$782B
| $9.49M | 2.75% |
92,200
+18,100
| +24% | +$1.85M |
|
5
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$3.97T
| $6.5M | 1.88% |
48,620
-9,300
| -16% | -$1.27M |
|
|
6
Alphabet (Google) Class C
GOOG
$3.97T
| $6.48M | 1.87% |
48,600
-17,320
| -26% | -$2.39M |
|
|
7
Alibaba
BABA
$271B
| $5.92M | 1.71% |
+40,000
| New | +$7.28M |
|
8
Comcast
CMCSA
$81.9B
| $5.89M | 1.7% |
105,300
+83,300
| +379% | +$4.86M |
|
|
9
Costco
COST
$424B
| $5.2M | 1.5% |
+11,563
| New | +$5.08M |
|
|
ATVI
10
DELISTED
Activision Blizzard
ATVI
| $4.19M | 1.21% |
54,100
+36,500
| +207% | +$3.05M |
|
11
PayPal
PYPL
$49.6B
| $4.08M | 1.18% |
+15,700
| New | +$4.45M |
|
12
Progressive
PGR
$126B
| $3.57M | 1.03% |
+39,465
| New | +$3.76M |
|
13
Adobe
ADBE
$94.4B
| $3.34M | 0.97% |
+5,800
| New | +$3.65M |
|
14
Roku
ROKU
$21.3B
| $2.94M | 0.85% |
+9,386
| New | +$3.54M |
|
15
Berkshire Hathaway Class B
BRK.B
$1.08T
| $2.9M | 0.84% |
10,626
+3,226
| +44% | +$906K |
|
16
General Motors
GM
$76.3B
| $2.74M | 0.79% |
51,976
+19,876
| +62% | +$1.06M |
|
17
Realty Income
O
$61.7B
| $2.58M | 0.75% |
41,074
+30,238
| +279% | +$2.04M |
|
18
Blackstone
BX
$107B
| $2.49M | 0.72% |
21,400
+5,000
| +30% | +$580K |
|
19
Gilead Sciences
GILD
$165B
| $2.47M | 0.72% |
+35,400
| New | +$2.49M |
|
20
Mondelez International
MDLZ
$78.4B
| $2.47M | 0.72% |
+42,483
| New | +$2.64M |
|
21
Virgin Galactic
SPCE
$326M
| $2.4M | 0.7% |
4,745
+3,917
| +473% | +$2.33M |
|
22
Coinbase
COIN
$42.5B
| $2.39M | 0.69% |
10,510
+5,310
| +102% | +$1.31M |
|
23
ASML
ASML
$627B
| $2.36M | 0.68% |
+3,170
| New | +$2.49M |
|
24
RTX Corp
RTX
$293B
| $2.29M | 0.66% |
26,700
+5,300
| +25% | +$453K |
|
25
Agilent Technologies
A
$39.2B
| $2.26M | 0.66% |
14,367
+6,831
| +91% | +$1.1M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2021 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2021, Bayesian Capital Management held 613 positions worth $345M, down 9.8% from $383M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 25% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $19.8M in Q3 2021, closing 251 positions and reducing 75 holdings. Its most notable exit was Amazon, an estimated $11.4M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 21% of assets, up from 19% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust worth $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2021 buy was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust: 40,800 shares worth $17.5M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Comcast in Q3 2021, an estimated $4.86M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2021 reduction was General Mills, cutting an estimated $9.05M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Amazon in Q3 2021, selling an estimated $11.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 25% of its $345M portfolio in Q3 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 226 new positions and closed 251 in Q3 2021.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 9.8% quarter-over-quarter to $345M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2021, filed 15 Nov 2021.