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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Nike
NKE
$62.6B
| $14.8M | 2.34% |
208,700
+122,600
| +142% | +$7.36M |
|
2
Walt Disney
DIS
$168B
| $14.1M | 2.22% |
113,300
+60,900
| +116% | +$6.33M |
|
|
3
Apple
AAPL
$4.93T
| $12.1M | 1.91% |
58,904
+52,304
| +792% | +$10.6M |
|
|
4
Wells Fargo
WFC
$264B
| $11M | 1.74% |
+137,400
| New | +$9.91M |
|
5
Oracle
ORCL
$347B
| $10.3M | 1.62% |
47,000
+18,700
| +66% | +$3.02M |
|
6
Snowflake
SNOW
$94.3B
| $9.89M | 1.56% |
44,179
+33,300
| +306% | +$6.02M |
|
|
7
MongoDB
MDB
$25.1B
| $8.5M | 1.34% |
+40,500
| New | +$7.49M |
|
8
Palantir
PLTR
$317B
| $7.96M | 1.26% |
58,400
+16,000
| +38% | +$1.88M |
|
|
9
PepsiCo
PEP
$191B
| $7.68M | 1.21% |
+58,200
| New | +$7.84M |
|
10
Veeva Systems
VEEV
$32.1B
| $7.66M | 1.21% |
26,597
+5,800
| +28% | +$1.44M |
|
11
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLV
$42.3B
| $7.07M | 1.12% |
+52,450
| New | +$7.08M |
|
|
SCHW
12
Charles Schwab
SCHW
$181B
| $6.11M | 0.97% |
+67,000
| New | +$5.61M |
|
13
Hewlett Packard
HPE
$62.5B
| $5.71M | 0.9% |
+279,153
| New | +$4.68M |
|
14
Amphenol
APH
$183B
| $5.69M | 0.9% |
+57,630
| New | +$4.71M |
|
15
Microchip Technology
MCHP
$41.8B
| $5.31M | 0.84% |
75,400
+58,200
| +338% | +$3.2M |
|
16
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$780B
| $4.94M | 0.78% |
8,000
-7,900
| -50% | -$4.52M |
|
17
Chevron
CVX
$381B
| $4.87M | 0.77% |
+33,998
| New | +$4.79M |
|
18
Neurocrine Biosciences
NBIX
$17.8B
| $4.85M | 0.77% |
+38,600
| New | +$4.43M |
|
19
Western Digital
WDC
$170B
| $4.81M | 0.76% |
+75,100
| New | +$3.58M |
|
20
CVS Health
CVS
$137B
| $4.66M | 0.74% |
67,500
-12,200
| -15% | -$800K |
|
21
ResMed
RMD
$29.3B
| $4.47M | 0.71% |
+17,316
| New | +$4.13M |
|
22
Digital Realty Trust
DLR
$71.7B
| $4.46M | 0.71% |
+25,605
| New | +$4.19M |
|
23
FedEx
FDX
$73.8B
| $4.43M | 0.7% |
+19,501
| New | +$4.27M |
|
24
Fox Class A
FOXA
$23.9B
| $4.31M | 0.68% |
+76,891
| New | +$4.06M |
|
|
BPMC
25
DELISTED
Blueprint Medicines
BPMC
| $4.27M | 0.67% |
+33,300
| New | +$3.46M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.