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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+6.05%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$817M
AUM Growth
-$36.2M
Cap. Flow
-$39.4M
Cap. Flow %
-4.82%
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.04%
Holding
1,060
New
418
Increased
118
Reduced
111
Closed
413

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
AMGN icon
Amgen
AMGN
+$12.8M
2
CRM icon
Salesforce
CRM
+$9.18M
3
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$8.85M
4
DHR icon
Danaher
DHR
+$8.43M
5
AMZN icon
Amazon
AMZN
+$8.08M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$17.9M
2
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$16.6M
3
CVX icon
Chevron
CVX
+$15.3M
4
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.4M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$8.82M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 22.57%
2 Consumer Discretionary 15.97%
3 Healthcare 14.57%
4 Industrials 11.33%
5 Financials 7.06%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
NKE icon
1
Nike
NKE
$57B
$22.3M 2.73%
295,100
+112,700
+62% +$8.85M
AMGN icon
2
Amgen
AMGN
$236B
$11.2M 1.37%
+43,000
New +$12.8M
CRM icon
3
Salesforce
CRM
$206B
$9.62M 1.18%
+28,768
New +$9.18M
DHR icon
4
Danaher
DHR
$152B
$9.18M 1.12%
40,000
+34,300
+602% +$8.43M
UNP icon
5
Union Pacific
UNP
$183B
$8.98M 1.1%
39,390
+28,990
+279% +$6.86M
AMZN icon
6
Amazon
AMZN
$2.76T
$8.67M 1.06%
+39,500
New +$8.08M
GOOGL icon
7
Alphabet (Google) Class A
GOOGL
$4.17T
$7.61M 0.93%
40,200
+23,310
+138% +$4.08M
SLB icon
8
SLB Ltd
SLB
$81.6B
$7.39M 0.9%
192,845
+187,900
+3,800% +$7.89M
GOOG icon
9
Alphabet (Google) Class C
GOOG
$4.13T
$7.03M 0.86%
36,900
+30,200
+451% +$5.33M
AVGO icon
10
Broadcom
AVGO
$1.77T
$6.41M 0.78%
+27,642
New +$5.11M
EXC icon
11
Exelon
EXC
$45.3B
$6.18M 0.76%
+164,100
New +$6.37M
GLW icon
12
Corning
GLW
$132B
$6.11M 0.75%
128,600
+80,200
+166% +$3.8M
NTRA icon
13
Natera
NTRA
$48.8B
$6.09M 0.75%
38,500
+28,000
+267% +$4.08M
CMCSA icon
14
Comcast
CMCSA
$93.7B
$6.02M 0.74%
160,300
+96,900
+153% +$4.02M
QCOM icon
15
Qualcomm
QCOM
$176B
$5.99M 0.73%
+38,961
New +$6.38M
ROST icon
16
Ross Stores
ROST
$73.7B
$5.92M 0.72%
+39,114
New +$5.75M
BA icon
17
Boeing
BA
$166B
$5.91M 0.72%
+33,400
New +$5.24M
RDDT icon
18
Reddit
RDDT
$29.6B
$5.77M 0.71%
+35,300
New +$4.36M
INTC icon
19
Intel
INTC
$487B
$5.71M 0.7%
+284,900
New +$6.42M
DOW icon
20
Dow Inc
DOW
$21.9B
$5.59M 0.68%
139,373
+119,200
+591% +$5.56M
AAPL icon
21
Apple
AAPL
$4.59T
$5.38M 0.66%
21,500
+19,400
+924% +$4.57M
DG icon
22
Dollar General
DG
$27.8B
$5.16M 0.63%
+68,004
New +$5.36M
ADI icon
23
Analog Devices
ADI
$181B
$5.14M 0.63%
24,200
+8,800
+57% +$1.95M
AXON
24
Axon Enterprise
AXON
$49.7B
$5.12M 0.63%
8,616
+4,900
+132% +$2.67M
RMD icon
25
ResMed
RMD
$34B
$5.05M 0.62%
22,100
+14,300
+183% +$3.44M
1
2 3 4 5

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q4 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,060 positions worth $817M, down 4.2% from $853M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $39.4M in Q4 2024, closing 413 positions and reducing 111 holdings. Its most notable exit was Netflix, an estimated $17.9M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 23% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Amgen worth $11.2M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2024 buy was Amgen: 43,000 shares worth $11.2M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Nike in Q4 2024, an estimated $8.85M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2024 reduction was Tesla, cutting an estimated $16.6M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Netflix in Q4 2024, selling an estimated $17.9M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $817M portfolio in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 418 new positions and closed 413 in Q4 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 4.2% quarter-over-quarter to $817M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2024, filed 14 Feb 2025.