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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+10.31%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$684M
AUM Growth
+$191M
(+39%)
Cap. Flow
+$175M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
25.54%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
22.29%
Holding
1,116
New
453
Increased
148
Reduced
137
Closed
375
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
|
+$66.9M |
| 2 |
Tesla
TSLA
|
+$17M |
| 3 |
Starbucks
SBUX
|
+$7.73M |
| 4 |
Alibaba
BABA
|
+$5.61M |
| 5 |
Ferguson
FERG
|
+$5.09M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Micron Technology
MU
|
+$8.46M |
| 2 |
United Parcel Service
UPS
|
+$6.5M |
| 3 |
Medtronic
MDT
|
+$5.4M |
| 4 |
Palo Alto Networks
PANW
|
+$5.27M |
| 5 |
3M
MMM
|
+$4.22M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 18.5% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.35% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 11.88% |
| 4 | Financials | 8.41% |
| 5 | Industrials | 7.93% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$779B
| $81.7M | 11.94% |
213,700
+174,000
| +438% | +$66.9M |
|
|
2
Alibaba
BABA
$274B
| $11.3M | 1.65% |
127,900
+71,100
| +125% | +$5.61M |
|
|
3
Tesla
TSLA
$1.22T
| $11.1M | 1.62% |
+89,769
| New | +$17M |
|
4
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.53T
| $9.71M | 1.42% |
80,685
+34,485
| +75% | +$4.05M |
|
|
5
Starbucks
SBUX
$119B
| $8.12M | 1.19% |
+81,863
| New | +$7.73M |
|
6
PayPal
PYPL
$49.9B
| $7.58M | 1.11% |
106,409
+51,309
| +93% | +$4.11M |
|
7
Nike
NKE
$62.3B
| $6.4M | 0.94% |
54,725
+50,100
| +1,083% | +$5.04M |
|
|
8
Ferguson
FERG
$45.1B
| $5.87M | 0.86% |
46,200
+43,700
| +1,748% | +$5.09M |
|
9
Enphase Energy
ENPH
$4.81B
| $5.44M | 0.8% |
20,550
+4,500
| +28% | +$1.31M |
|
10
SolarEdge
SEDG
$2.54B
| $5.37M | 0.79% |
18,967
+14,600
| +334% | +$3.87M |
|
11
Adobe
ADBE
$94.5B
| $4.95M | 0.72% |
+14,700
| New | +$4.7M |
|
12
Mastercard
MA
$488B
| $4.76M | 0.7% |
13,693
-1,600
| -10% | -$527K |
|
13
Ball Corp
BALL
$17.2B
| $4.56M | 0.67% |
+89,254
| New | +$4.62M |
|
14
T-Mobile US
TMUS
$195B
| $4.22M | 0.62% |
30,110
-22,800
| -43% | -$3.28M |
|
15
CoStar Group
CSGP
$12.1B
| $4.13M | 0.6% |
+53,400
| New | +$4.17M |
|
16
Shopify
SHOP
$161B
| $4.12M | 0.6% |
118,810
+91,800
| +340% | +$3.13M |
|
17
Broadcom
AVGO
$1.8T
| $3.97M | 0.58% |
+71,000
| New | +$3.56M |
|
18
CSX Corp
CSX
$95.6B
| $3.88M | 0.57% |
+125,208
| New | +$3.77M |
|
19
Thermo Fisher Scientific
TMO
$209B
| $3.69M | 0.54% |
6,700
+2,122
| +46% | +$1.12M |
|
20
MongoDB
MDB
$25B
| $3.41M | 0.5% |
+17,345
| New | +$3.09M |
|
21
Novartis
NVS
$298B
| $3.32M | 0.49% |
36,593
+9,600
| +36% | +$809K |
|
22
SAP
SAP
$201B
| $3.28M | 0.48% |
+31,782
| New | +$3.18M |
|
23
CVS Health
CVS
$136B
| $3.28M | 0.48% |
+35,179
| New | +$3.39M |
|
24
CME Group
CME
$92.5B
| $3.11M | 0.46% |
18,520
+13,000
| +236% | +$2.26M |
|
|
25
Medtronic
MDT
$109B
| $3.11M | 0.45% |
39,978
-66,600
| -62% | -$5.4M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2022 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2022, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,116 positions worth $684M, up 39% from $493M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 22% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $175M of net new capital in Q4 2022, opening 453 new positions and adding to 148 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Tesla: 89,769 shares worth $11.1M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 18% of assets, down from 24% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Medtronic, an estimated $5.4M trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2022 buy was Tesla: 89,769 shares worth $11.1M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q4 2022, an estimated $66.9M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2022 reduction was Medtronic, cutting an estimated $5.4M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Micron Technology in Q4 2022, selling an estimated $8.46M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 22% of its $684M portfolio in Q4 2022.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 453 new positions and closed 375 in Q4 2022.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 39% quarter-over-quarter to $684M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2022, filed 14 Feb 2023.