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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+13.65%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$611M
AUM Growth
+$166M
(+37%)
Cap. Flow
+$129M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
21.12%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
12.05%
Holding
892
New
317
Increased
195
Reduced
91
Closed
286
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Walmart Inc
WMT
|
+$9.91M |
| 2 |
Medtronic
MDT
|
+$6.79M |
| 3 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$6.74M |
| 4 |
Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMG
|
+$6.12M |
| 5 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$6M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kroger
KR
|
+$9.26M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$8.61M |
| 3 |
General Mills
GIS
|
+$7.67M |
| 4 |
Intel
INTC
|
+$4.79M |
| 5 |
AbbVie
ABBV
|
+$3.57M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Consumer Discretionary | 22.27% |
| 2 | Technology | 18.53% |
| 3 | Industrials | 11.89% |
| 4 | Healthcare | 11.68% |
| 5 | Financials | 7.73% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Walmart Inc
WMT
$887B
| $10.8M | 1.77% |
345,600
+324,000
| +1,500% | +$9.91M |
|
2
lululemon athletica
LULU
$13.4B
| $9.23M | 1.51% |
56,800
+2,300
| +4% | +$315K |
|
3
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$780B
| $7.79M | 1.28% |
26,800
+10,200
| +61% | +$2.9M |
|
|
4
Medtronic
MDT
$108B
| $7.22M | 1.18% |
+73,445
| New | +$6.79M |
|
|
5
Expedia Group
EXPE
$33.6B
| $6.77M | 1.11% |
+51,900
| New | +$6.74M |
|
6
Lowe's Companies
LOW
$119B
| $6.56M | 1.07% |
+57,107
| New | +$5.95M |
|
|
7
Apple
AAPL
$4.93T
| $6.5M | 1.06% |
+115,200
| New | +$6M |
|
|
CTXS
8
DELISTED
Citrix Systems Inc
CTXS
| $6.3M | 1.03% |
56,635
+45,300
| +400% | +$5.01M |
|
9
Five Below
FIVE
$11.4B
| $6.26M | 1.02% |
48,105
+17,200
| +56% | +$1.91M |
|
|
TIF
10
DELISTED
Tiffany & Co.
TIF
| $6.19M | 1.01% |
48,000
+33,300
| +227% | +$4.35M |
|
|
11
Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMG
$42.6B
| $5.85M | 0.96% |
+643,100
| New | +$6.12M |
|
|
FDC
12
DELISTED
First Data Corporation
FDC
| $5.8M | 0.95% |
236,900
+138,700
| +141% | +$3.34M |
|
13
Qualcomm
QCOM
$177B
| $5.49M | 0.9% |
76,200
+68,600
| +903% | +$4.51M |
|
14
TJX Companies
TJX
$174B
| $5.2M | 0.85% |
92,800
+11,400
| +14% | +$586K |
|
15
Danaher
DHR
$137B
| $4.95M | 0.81% |
51,401
+36,435
| +243% | +$3.32M |
|
16
O'Reilly Automotive
ORLY
$75.5B
| $4.9M | 0.8% |
211,500
+75,000
| +55% | +$1.59M |
|
17
W.W. Grainger
GWW
$65.5B
| $4.86M | 0.8% |
13,600
+3,900
| +40% | +$1.34M |
|
18
Trade Desk
TTD
$8.6B
| $4.6M | 0.75% |
305,000
+67,000
| +28% | +$795K |
|
19
Signet Jewelers
SIG
$3.76B
| $4.58M | 0.75% |
69,392
+56,592
| +442% | +$3.49M |
|
20
NVIDIA
NVDA
$4.76T
| $4.47M | 0.73% |
635,680
+585,160
| +1,158% | +$3.81M |
|
21
Keysight
KEYS
$53B
| $4.41M | 0.72% |
66,500
+18,400
| +38% | +$1.14M |
|
22
Illumina
ILMN
$28.8B
| $4.28M | 0.7% |
11,989
+7,710
| +180% | +$2.47M |
|
23
CSX Corp
CSX
$95.3B
| $4.22M | 0.69% |
171,000
+150,900
| +751% | +$3.59M |
|
24
Molina Healthcare
MOH
$10.7B
| $4.19M | 0.69% |
28,171
+25,271
| +871% | +$3.23M |
|
25
Sysco
SYY
$40.1B
| $4.03M | 0.66% |
+55,000
| New | +$3.96M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2018 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2018, Bayesian Capital Management held 892 positions worth $611M, up 37% from $445M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 12% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $129M of net new capital in Q3 2018, opening 317 new positions and adding to 195 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Medtronic: 73,445 shares worth $7.22M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Consumer Discretionary at 22% of assets, up from 22% a quarter earlier, followed by Technology and Industrials.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Burlington, an estimated $3.53M trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2018 buy was Medtronic: 73,445 shares worth $7.22M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Walmart Inc in Q3 2018, an estimated $9.91M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2018 reduction was Burlington, cutting an estimated $3.53M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Kroger in Q3 2018, selling an estimated $9.26M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 12% of its $611M portfolio in Q3 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 317 new positions and closed 286 in Q3 2018.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 37% quarter-over-quarter to $611M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2018, filed 14 Nov 2018.