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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $156M
1-Year Est. Return 14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+10.92%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.09%
AUM
$853M
AUM Growth
-$19.3M
Cap. Flow
-$81.6M
Cap. Flow %
-9.56%
Top 10 Hldgs %
13.72%
Holding
1,104
New
422
Increased
110
Reduced
108
Closed
462

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
NFLX icon
Netflix
NFLX
+$14M
2
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$11.7M
3
MDB icon
MongoDB
MDB
+$9.23M
4
TXN icon
Texas Instruments
TXN
+$8M
5
FTNT icon
Fortinet
FTNT
+$7.77M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
SPY icon
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
+$39.5M
2
ACN icon
Accenture
ACN
+$13.2M
3
ULTA icon
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
+$11.4M
4
ADBE icon
Adobe
ADBE
+$11.3M
5
TSLA icon
Tesla
TSLA
+$9.53M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 25.51%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.21%
3 Healthcare 10.72%
4 Industrials 10.26%
5 Financials 8.26%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
NFLX icon
1
Netflix
NFLX
$332B
$17.9M 2.1%
253,000
+210,000
+488% +$14M
NKE icon
2
Nike
NKE
$57B
$16.1M 1.89%
182,400
+149,500
+454% +$11.7M
TSLA icon
3
Tesla
TSLA
$1.4T
$15.5M 1.82%
59,200
-41,800
-41% -$9.53M
CVX icon
4
Chevron
CVX
$392B
$15M 1.75%
101,596
+52,000
+105% +$7.74M
MDB icon
5
MongoDB
MDB
$35.4B
$9.61M 1.13%
+35,529
New +$9.23M
JD icon
6
JD.com
JD
$38.5B
$9.15M 1.07%
228,689
+174,400
+321% +$4.79M
FTNT icon
7
Fortinet
FTNT
$127B
$8.82M 1.03%
+113,783
New +$7.77M
MDT icon
8
Medtronic
MDT
$115B
$8.39M 0.98%
93,200
+51,300
+122% +$4.32M
PYPL icon
9
PayPal
PYPL
$52.6B
$8.34M 0.98%
106,854
+1,500
+1% +$100K
TXN icon
10
Texas Instruments
TXN
$243B
$8.22M 0.96%
+39,800
New +$8M
A icon
11
Agilent Technologies
A
$44.5B
$7.29M 0.85%
+49,100
New +$6.72M
MPC icon
12
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$102B
$6.94M 0.81%
+42,597
New +$7.2M
LW icon
13
Lamb Weston
LW
$7.53B
$6.93M 0.81%
107,100
+104,600
+4,184% +$6.91M
DELL icon
14
Dell
DELL
$305B
$6.87M 0.81%
+57,979
New +$6.75M
BBY icon
15
Best Buy
BBY
$17.6B
$6.81M 0.8%
65,950
+32,200
+95% +$2.9M
ORCL icon
16
Oracle
ORCL
$438B
$6.75M 0.79%
39,600
-57,100
-59% -$8.27M
TSM icon
17
TSMC
TSM
$2.22T
$6.58M 0.77%
+37,897
New +$6.46M
SCHW
18
Charles Schwab
SCHW
$187B
$6.55M 0.77%
101,100
-19,000
-16% -$1.25M
DIS icon
19
Walt Disney
DIS
$184B
$6.55M 0.77%
68,063
+63,276
+1,322% +$5.82M
SPOT icon
20
Spotify
SPOT
$108B
$6.14M 0.72%
16,667
-15,400
-48% -$5.12M
HES
21
DELISTED
Hess
HES
$6.11M 0.72%
45,000
+42,900
+2,043% +$5.97M
COP icon
22
ConocoPhillips
COP
$156B
$6.09M 0.71%
57,800
+34,800
+151% +$3.82M
FAST icon
23
Fastenal
FAST
$58.7B
$6.06M 0.71%
169,600
+111,400
+191% +$3.77M
SHOP icon
24
Shopify
SHOP
$199B
$5.78M 0.68%
72,178
-71,000
-50% -$4.9M
KEYS icon
25
Keysight
KEYS
$55.5B
$5.41M 0.63%
34,046
+16,671
+96% +$2.37M
1
2 3 4 5

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ADBIC
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HSM
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FWM
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2024 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2024, Bayesian Capital Management held 1,104 positions worth $853M, down 2.2% from $873M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 14% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $81.6M in Q3 2024, closing 462 positions and reducing 108 holdings. Its most notable exit was State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, an estimated $39.5M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in MongoDB worth $9.61M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2024 buy was MongoDB: 35,529 shares worth $9.61M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Netflix in Q3 2024, an estimated $14M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2024 reduction was Adobe, cutting an estimated $11.3M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust in Q3 2024, selling an estimated $39.5M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 14% of its $853M portfolio in Q3 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 422 new positions and closed 462 in Q3 2024.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 2.2% quarter-over-quarter to $853M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2024, filed 14 Nov 2024.