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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
Microsoft
MSFT
$2.91T
| $6.32M | 1.29% |
+12,200
| New | +$6.22M |
|
|
2
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
$1.53T
| $6.02M | 1.23% |
+8,200
| New | +$6.1M |
|
|
3
Boston Scientific
BSX
$68.6B
| $5.39M | 1.1% |
+55,200
| New | +$5.72M |
|
|
4
Accenture
ACN
$94.4B
| $5.35M | 1.09% |
+21,699
| New | +$5.66M |
|
|
CRWV
5
CoreWeave
CRWV
$38.3B
| $4.97M | 1.01% |
+36,300
| New | +$4.29M |
|
6
Robinhood
HOOD
$83.9B
| $4.87M | 0.99% |
+34,000
| New | +$3.71M |
|
|
7
Expedia Group
EXPE
$33B
| $4.81M | 0.98% |
+22,500
| New | +$4.52M |
|
8
UnitedHealth
UNH
$379B
| $4.8M | 0.98% |
+13,900
| New | +$4.2M |
|
9
Idexx Laboratories
IDXX
$44B
| $4.6M | 0.94% |
7,200
+6,276
| +679% | +$3.81M |
|
10
F5
FFIV
$22.3B
| $4.27M | 0.87% |
13,200
+10,700
| +428% | +$3.35M |
|
11
3M
MMM
$91.3B
| $4.25M | 0.87% |
27,400
+3,801
| +16% | +$586K |
|
12
Las Vegas Sands
LVS
$31.4B
| $4.08M | 0.83% |
75,800
+67,800
| +848% | +$3.57M |
|
|
13
Apple
AAPL
$4.96T
| $4.02M | 0.82% |
15,800
-43,104
| -73% | -$9.74M |
|
14
Delta Air Lines
DAL
$56.7B
| $3.99M | 0.81% |
+70,300
| New | +$4.01M |
|
15
Netflix
NFLX
$297B
| $3.96M | 0.81% |
33,000
+21,000
| +175% | +$2.56M |
|
|
NVO
16
Novo Nordisk
NVO
$220B
| $3.79M | 0.77% |
68,300
+61,400
| +890% | +$3.59M |
|
17
Okta
OKTA
$24.1B
| $3.7M | 0.76% |
+40,400
| New | +$3.77M |
|
18
Paychex
PAYX
$41.5B
| $3.56M | 0.73% |
+28,100
| New | +$3.9M |
|
19
McDonald's
MCD
$192B
| $3.46M | 0.71% |
11,400
+9,500
| +500% | +$2.89M |
|
20
Ferguson
FERG
$45.1B
| $3.46M | 0.71% |
15,400
-3,300
| -18% | -$747K |
|
|
21
Walt Disney
DIS
$169B
| $3.35M | 0.69% |
29,300
-84,000
| -74% | -$9.89M |
|
22
AbbVie
ABBV
$460B
| $3.33M | 0.68% |
14,400
+4,900
| +52% | +$998K |
|
23
Edwards Lifesciences
EW
$47.5B
| $3.27M | 0.67% |
+42,100
| New | +$3.29M |
|
24
Air Products & Chemicals
APD
$65.2B
| $3.14M | 0.64% |
+11,526
| New | +$3.34M |
|
25
Starbucks
SBUX
$119B
| $3.12M | 0.64% |
+36,900
| New | +$3.3M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.