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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$156M
Turnover
90.24%
1-Year Est. Return
14.89%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+1.69%
1 Year Est. Return
+14.89%
3 Year Est. Return
+106.87%
5 Year Est. Return
+133.82%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.1%
AUM
$81.9M
AUM Growth
+$38.3M
(+88%)
Cap. Flow
+$45.3M
Cap. Flow % of AUM
Cap. Flow %
55.34%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
30.57%
Holding
223
New
115
Increased
13
Reduced
9
Closed
86
Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 10 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top 20 Avg Time Held
0.1
years
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$3.1M |
| 2 |
Rocket Lab Corp
RKLB
|
+$3.06M |
| 3 |
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$2.71M |
| 4 |
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
XBI
|
+$2.48M |
| 5 |
Sandisk
SNDK
|
+$2.39M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
NVIDIA
NVDA
|
+$1.6M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.56M |
| 3 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.29M |
| 4 |
DexCom
DXCM
|
+$954K |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$940K |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 23.53% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 12.15% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 11.18% |
| 4 | Communication Services | 10.58% |
| 5 | Financials | 10.49% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | Held Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
201
NVIDIA
NVDA
$5.17T
| – | – |
-8,600
| Closed | -$1.6M | – |
|
202
On Holding
ONON
$11.6B
| – | – |
-4,500
| Closed | -$209K | – |
|
203
Opendoor
OPEN
$2.06B
| – | – |
-30,700
| Closed | -$179K | – |
|
204
Pinterest
PINS
$12.4B
| – | – |
-26,600
| Closed | -$689K | – |
|
205
Park Hotels & Resorts
PK
$3.2B
| – | – |
-27,800
| Closed | -$291K | – |
|
206
Remitly
RELY
$5.11B
| – | – |
-17,900
| Closed | -$247K | – |
|
207
Sunrun
RUN
$1.76B
| – | – |
-10,900
| Closed | -$201K | – |
|
208
SAP
SAP
$259B
| – | – |
-1,578
| Closed | -$383K | – |
|
209
DELISTED
Sealed Air
SEE
| – | – |
-13,318
| Closed | -$552K | – |
|
210
Shoals Technologies Group
SHLS
$1.21B
| – | – |
-13,000
| Closed | -$110K | – |
|
211
NuScale Power
SMR
$2.39B
| – | – |
-38,889
| Closed | -$551K | – |
|
212
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
SPY
$806B
| – | – |
-580
| Closed | -$396K | – |
|
213
Target
TGT
$70.1B
| – | – |
-2,248
| Closed | -$220K | – |
|
214
Toast
TOST
$18.3B
| – | – |
-9,500
| Closed | -$337K | – |
|
|
215
TSMC
TSM
$2.14T
| – | – |
-5,141
| Closed | -$1.56M | – |
|
216
Telus
TU
$13.3B
| – | – |
-35,300
| Closed | -$465K | – |
|
217
Texas Instruments
TXN
$252B
| – | – |
-1,747
| Closed | -$303K | – |
|
218
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
$25.4B
| – | – |
-484
| Closed | -$293K | – |
|
219
Vulcan Materials
VMC
$33.4B
| – | – |
-831
| Closed | -$237K | – |
|
220
TeraWulf
WULF
$5.83B
| – | – |
-28,600
| Closed | -$329K | – |
|
221
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLB
$8.05B
| – | – |
-6,200
| Closed | -$281K | – |
|
222
CNH Industrial
CNH
$18.7B
| – | – |
-14,800
| Closed | -$136K | – |
|
223
Skydance Corporation
SKYD
$34.8B
| – | – |
-16,000
| Closed | -$214K | – |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q1 2026 Portfolio in Review
As of Q1 2026, Bayesian Capital Management held 223 positions worth $81.9M, up 88% from $43.6M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 31% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management deployed $45.3M of net new capital in Q1 2026, opening 115 new positions and adding to 13 existing holdings. Its largest new stake was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 24% of assets, down from 26% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
On the sell side, the largest reduction was Netflix, an estimated $441K trimmed.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q1 2026 buy was Nike: 51,100 shares worth $2.7M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Meta Platforms (Facebook) in Q1 2026, an estimated $2.11M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q1 2026 reduction was Netflix, cutting an estimated $441K.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited NVIDIA in Q1 2026, selling an estimated $1.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 31% of its $81.9M portfolio in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 115 new positions and closed 86 in Q1 2026.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 88% quarter-over-quarter to $81.9M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q1 2026, filed 15 May 2026.