We are live on
!
Find out more
BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
176
Elastic
ESTC
$6.51B
| $912K | 0.19% |
+10,800
| New | +$909K |
|
177
Parker-Hannifin
PH
$124B
| $910K | 0.19% |
+1,200
| New | +$885K |
|
178
Asana
ASAN
$1.92B
| $900K | 0.18% |
+67,360
| New | +$952K |
|
179
Airbnb
ABNB
$90B
| $899K | 0.18% |
+7,400
| New | +$957K |
|
180
Marqeta
MQ
$1.92B
| $883K | 0.18% |
+41,825
| New | +$991K |
|
181
Brown-Forman Class B
BF.B
$13.2B
| $883K | 0.18% |
+32,600
| New | +$945K |
|
182
Molson Coors Class B
TAP
$7.97B
| $869K | 0.18% |
+19,202
| New | +$948K |
|
183
Organon & Co
OGN
$3.56B
| $861K | 0.18% |
+80,600
| New | +$791K |
|
184
Warby Parker
WRBY
$3.15B
| $859K | 0.18% |
+31,142
| New | +$787K |
|
|
MASI
185
DELISTED
Masimo
MASI
| $853K | 0.17% |
+5,779
| New | +$875K |
|
186
Boyd Gaming
BYD
$6.76B
| $850K | 0.17% |
+9,837
| New | +$826K |
|
187
Lincoln Electric
LECO
$14.6B
| $850K | 0.17% |
+3,604
| New | +$844K |
|
188
SharkNinja
SN
$22.4B
| $849K | 0.17% |
+8,228
| New | +$940K |
|
189
Amdocs
DOX
$5.84B
| $845K | 0.17% |
+10,300
| New | +$893K |
|
190
Federal Signal
FSS
$7.13B
| $845K | 0.17% |
+7,100
| New | +$852K |
|
|
MRSH
191
Marsh
MRSH
$90.8B
| $826K | 0.17% |
+4,100
| New | +$843K |
|
192
RB Global
RBA
$21.8B
| $824K | 0.17% |
+7,600
| New | +$852K |
|
193
Western Digital
WDC
$157B
| $816K | 0.17% |
6,800
-68,300
| -91% | -$5.58M |
|
194
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions
ZWS
$8.17B
| $814K | 0.17% |
+17,300
| New | +$747K |
|
195
Marathon Petroleum
MPC
$90B
| $812K | 0.17% |
4,211
+1,011
| +32% | +$178K |
|
196
L3Harris
LHX
$56.4B
| $811K | 0.17% |
+2,657
| New | +$726K |
|
197
Euronet Worldwide
EEFT
$3.14B
| $808K | 0.17% |
+9,200
| New | +$882K |
|
198
Groupon
GRPN
$1.05B
| $796K | 0.16% |
+34,100
| New | +$981K |
|
199
Signet Jewelers
SIG
$3.77B
| $778K | 0.16% |
8,108
-3,500
| -30% | -$300K |
|
200
Dropbox
DBX
$7.47B
| $776K | 0.16% |
+25,700
| New | +$735K |
|
Similar funds
KL
FWS
FRIHG
AGFVA
1C
MP
FLC
APW
Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.