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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
151
Birkenstock
BIRK
$7.64B
| $1.26M | 0.2% |
+25,700
| New | +$1.32M |
|
152
Envista
NVST
$4.34B
| $1.25M | 0.2% |
+64,200
| New | +$1.12M |
|
153
Fox Class B
FOX
$21.3B
| $1.24M | 0.2% |
+24,095
| New | +$1.17M |
|
154
Frontdoor
FTDR
$5.1B
| $1.24M | 0.2% |
+21,100
| New | +$1.06M |
|
155
FIVE9
FIVN
$1.96B
| $1.24M | 0.2% |
46,926
+6,026
| +15% | +$157K |
|
156
Bio-Techne
TECH
$11.2B
| $1.22M | 0.19% |
23,617
+18,902
| +401% | +$950K |
|
157
Ovintiv
OVV
$16.6B
| $1.19M | 0.19% |
31,400
+18,400
| +142% | +$675K |
|
158
Tetra Tech
TTEK
$8.28B
| $1.19M | 0.19% |
+33,100
| New | +$1.1M |
|
159
Align Technology
ALGN
$12B
| $1.17M | 0.19% |
+6,200
| New | +$1.1M |
|
160
Allison Transmission
ALSN
$10.1B
| $1.17M | 0.18% |
+12,280
| New | +$1.19M |
|
161
Moderna
MRNA
$22.1B
| $1.16M | 0.18% |
+41,900
| New | +$1.1M |
|
162
Sony
SONY
$131B
| $1.15M | 0.18% |
44,300
+15,940
| +56% | +$399K |
|
|
PRMB
163
Primo Brands
PRMB
$8.29B
| $1.13M | 0.18% |
+38,300
| New | +$1.22M |
|
164
Advance Auto Parts
AAP
$3.48B
| $1.13M | 0.18% |
+24,300
| New | +$974K |
|
165
East-West Bancorp
EWBC
$17.8B
| $1.11M | 0.18% |
+11,000
| New | +$975K |
|
166
Boot Barn
BOOT
$4.71B
| $1.11M | 0.18% |
+7,300
| New | +$969K |
|
167
LPL Financial
LPLA
$26.5B
| $1.09M | 0.17% |
+2,900
| New | +$1.02M |
|
168
Devon Energy
DVN
$49.8B
| $1.08M | 0.17% |
34,100
-47,900
| -58% | -$1.53M |
|
169
XPO
XPO
$24.4B
| $1.07M | 0.17% |
8,500
+5,600
| +193% | +$628K |
|
170
Coeur Mining
CDE
$15.8B
| $1.06M | 0.17% |
+119,600
| New | +$871K |
|
171
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLP
$14.3B
| $1.05M | 0.17% |
+12,916
| New | +$1.05M |
|
172
HF Sinclair
DINO
$16.4B
| $1.04M | 0.16% |
+25,300
| New | +$871K |
|
173
Gogo Inc
GOGO
$540M
| $1.04M | 0.16% |
+70,772
| New | +$720K |
|
174
DuPont de Nemours
DD
$18.9B
| $1.03M | 0.16% |
11,936
-12,030
| -50% | -$1,000K |
|
175
Centene
CNC
$31.6B
| $1.03M | 0.16% |
18,900
-8,900
| -32% | -$522K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.