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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow %
-33.56%
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$6.22M
2
META icon
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
+$6.1M
3
BSX icon
Boston Scientific
BSX
+$5.72M
4
ACN icon
Accenture
ACN
+$5.66M
5
EXPE icon
Expedia Group
EXPE
+$4.52M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$14.8M
2
ORCL icon
Oracle
ORCL
+$10.3M
3
DIS icon
Walt Disney
DIS
+$9.89M
4
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$9.74M
5
WFC icon
Wells Fargo
WFC
+$8.86M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 26.64%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.12%
3 Healthcare 15.86%
4 Industrials 12.65%
5 Financials 6.86%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
GPK icon
126
Graphic Packaging
GPK
$3.3B
$1.22M 0.25%
+62,139
New +$1.35M
TPC
127
Tutor Perini Cor
TPC
$4.46B
$1.21M 0.25%
18,500
+10,075
+120% +$561K
SLM icon
128
SLM Corp
SLM
$4.78B
$1.21M 0.25%
+43,700
New +$1.36M
S icon
129
SentinelOne
S
$6.26B
$1.18M 0.24%
+67,278
New +$1.21M
GRMN
130
Garmin
GRMN
$46.5B
$1.18M 0.24%
4,773
+32
+0.7% +$7.38K
FIS icon
131
Fidelity National Information Services
FIS
$22.4B
$1.17M 0.24%
+17,700
New +$1.29M
ADI icon
132
Analog Devices
ADI
$181B
$1.15M 0.24%
4,700
-800
-15% -$192K
BMY icon
133
Bristol-Myers Squibb
BMY
$128B
$1.15M 0.23%
25,500
+21,127
+483% +$987K
BRKR icon
134
Bruker
BRKR
$9.18B
$1.14M 0.23%
+35,200
New +$1.25M
WMS icon
135
Advanced Drainage Systems
WMS
$10.9B
$1.14M 0.23%
+8,204
New +$1.08M
NBIS
136
Nebius Group N.V.
NBIS
$48B
$1.13M 0.23%
10,100
+2,316
+30% +$161K
TENB icon
137
Tenable Holdings
TENB
$3.61B
$1.13M 0.23%
+38,800
New +$1.21M
OXY icon
138
Occidental Petroleum
OXY
$55.2B
$1.13M 0.23%
23,900
+14,000
+141% +$633K
BMRN icon
139
BioMarin Pharmaceuticals
BMRN
$11.7B
$1.13M 0.23%
20,800
+10,400
+100% +$595K
HOG icon
140
Harley-Davidson
HOG
$2.61B
$1.13M 0.23%
40,365
+25,800
+177% +$692K
UAL icon
141
United Airlines
UAL
$38.7B
$1.12M 0.23%
11,653
-6,647
-36% -$639K
DHI icon
142
D.R. Horton
DHI
$41.1B
$1.12M 0.23%
+6,600
New +$1.04M
OSK icon
143
Oshkosh
OSK
$9.6B
$1.12M 0.23%
+8,622
New +$1.14M
MNST icon
144
Monster Beverage
MNST
$93.1B
$1.12M 0.23%
+16,600
New +$1.04M
HEI icon
145
HEICO Corp
HEI
$49.8B
$1.12M 0.23%
+3,459
New +$1.1M
BNY
146
Bank of New York Mellon
BNY
$107B
$1.11M 0.23%
10,209
-4,791
-32% -$489K
STNE icon
147
StoneCo
STNE
$2.64B
$1.1M 0.22%
+58,100
New +$923K
RELY icon
148
Remitly
RELY
$4.83B
$1.09M 0.22%
66,664
+51,900
+352% +$931K
PINS icon
149
Pinterest
PINS
$13.3B
$1.08M 0.22%
+33,600
New +$1.22M
AXON
150
Axon Enterprise
AXON
$42.7B
$1.08M 0.22%
1,500
+475
+46% +$360K
4 5
6
7 8

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.