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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101
Hasbro
HAS
$12.7B
| $1.42M | 0.29% |
+18,719
| New | +$1.45M |
|
102
Lattice Semiconductor
LSCC
$16.5B
| $1.39M | 0.28% |
19,000
+12,300
| +184% | +$748K |
|
103
TAL Education Group
TAL
$5.85B
| $1.39M | 0.28% |
+124,300
| New | +$1.34M |
|
104
Unity
U
$13.4B
| $1.39M | 0.28% |
+34,700
| New | +$1.29M |
|
105
Brinker International
EAT
$8.39B
| $1.38M | 0.28% |
+10,900
| New | +$1.7M |
|
106
DraftKings
DKNG
$12.1B
| $1.37M | 0.28% |
36,600
-7,300
| -17% | -$324K |
|
107
Celsius Holdings
CELH
$7.33B
| $1.36M | 0.28% |
+23,684
| New | +$1.24M |
|
108
Adobe
ADBE
$96B
| $1.36M | 0.28% |
+3,854
| New | +$1.38M |
|
109
Viavi Solutions
VIAV
$9.29B
| $1.35M | 0.28% |
+106,700
| New | +$1.17M |
|
110
Coca-Cola
KO
$361B
| $1.35M | 0.28% |
+20,400
| New | +$1.4M |
|
|
TTAN
111
ServiceTitan Inc
TTAN
$7.32B
| $1.35M | 0.28% |
+13,405
| New | +$1.47M |
|
112
CVS Health
CVS
$137B
| $1.34M | 0.27% |
17,800
-49,700
| -74% | -$3.41M |
|
|
REVG
113
DELISTED
REV Group
REVG
| $1.34M | 0.27% |
23,660
+2,300
| +11% | +$122K |
|
114
Trimble
TRMB
$13B
| $1.34M | 0.27% |
16,400
+4,791
| +41% | +$391K |
|
115
LyondellBasell Industries
LYB
$19.1B
| $1.34M | 0.27% |
27,300
+19,000
| +229% | +$1.07M |
|
116
Comcast
CMCSA
$82.3B
| $1.34M | 0.27% |
42,600
-13,900
| -25% | -$466K |
|
117
Tyson Foods
TSN
$21.6B
| $1.34M | 0.27% |
24,600
+12,400
| +102% | +$685K |
|
118
Pultegroup
PHM
$24.7B
| $1.34M | 0.27% |
+10,108
| New | +$1.26M |
|
119
Ollie's Bargain Outlet
OLLI
$4.06B
| $1.28M | 0.26% |
+10,000
| New | +$1.33M |
|
120
Paylocity
PCTY
$7.13B
| $1.26M | 0.26% |
+7,900
| New | +$1.4M |
|
121
Old Dominion Freight Line
ODFL
$47B
| $1.25M | 0.26% |
+8,900
| New | +$1.36M |
|
|
CCC
122
CCC Intelligent Solutions
CCC
$3.55B
| $1.25M | 0.26% |
+137,100
| New | +$1.33M |
|
123
Zimmer Biomet
ZBH
$17.9B
| $1.23M | 0.25% |
+12,500
| New | +$1.24M |
|
124
International Flavors & Fragrances
IFF
$19.6B
| $1.22M | 0.25% |
+19,861
| New | +$1.36M |
|
125
News Corp Class A
NWSA
$14.8B
| $1.22M | 0.25% |
+39,700
| New | +$1.18M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.