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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
-3.38%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$43.6M
AUM Growth
-$446M
(-91%)
Cap. Flow
-$442M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-1,013.48%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
28.16%
Holding
580
New
77
Increased
4
Reduced
27
Closed
472
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
JPMorgan Chase
JPM
|
+$1.24M |
| 2 |
TSMC
TSM
|
+$1.13M |
| 3 |
NuScale Power
SMR
|
+$1.11M |
| 4 |
Trade Desk
TTD
|
+$1.02M |
| 5 |
Microchip Technology
MCHP
|
+$910K |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.39M |
| 2 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.35M |
| 3 |
CRWV
CoreWeave
CRWV
|
+$4.97M |
| 4 |
Robinhood
HOOD
|
+$4.87M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.81M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.63% |
| 2 | Healthcare | 13.02% |
| 3 | Communication Services | 12.94% |
| 4 | Consumer Discretionary | 11.11% |
| 5 | Industrials | 9.67% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76
Iris Energy
IREN
$13.2B
| $230K | 0.53% |
+6,100
| New | +$315K |
|
77
Target
TGT
$62.1B
| $220K | 0.5% |
+2,248
| New | +$207K |
|
78
Archer Daniels Midland
ADM
$41.4B
| $219K | 0.5% |
+3,806
| New | +$227K |
|
79
Gen Digital
GEN
$15.6B
| $218K | 0.5% |
+8,000
| New | +$215K |
|
80
Intuitive Machines
LUNR
$2.07B
| $217K | 0.5% |
+13,367
| New | +$155K |
|
81
FS KKR Capital
FSK
$2.98B
| $215K | 0.49% |
+14,497
| New | +$220K |
|
|
PSKY
82
Paramount Skydance Corp
PSKY
$9.19B
| $214K | 0.49% |
+16,000
| New | +$250K |
|
83
Abercrombie & Fitch
ANF
$4.17B
| $214K | 0.49% |
+1,700
| New | +$149K |
|
84
APA Corp
APA
$12.8B
| $213K | 0.49% |
8,700
-9,800
| -53% | -$237K |
|
85
Harmony Gold Mining
HMY
$9.92B
| $212K | 0.49% |
+10,651
| New | +$199K |
|
86
On Holding
ONON
$11.9B
| $209K | 0.48% |
4,500
-33,200
| -88% | -$1.43M |
|
87
Maplebear
CART
$9.92B
| $207K | 0.47% |
+4,600
| New | +$188K |
|
88
MongoDB
MDB
$24B
| $206K | 0.47% |
+490
| New | +$178K |
|
89
Applovin
APP
$132B
| $203K | 0.47% |
+302
| New | +$190K |
|
90
Sunrun
RUN
$2.37B
| $201K | 0.46% |
+10,900
| New | +$209K |
|
91
MannKind Corp
MNKD
$1.28B
| $200K | 0.46% |
+35,200
| New | +$194K |
|
92
Magnite
MGNI
$2.65B
| $195K | 0.45% |
+11,987
| New | +$199K |
|
93
AGNC Investment
AGNC
$12.3B
| $191K | 0.44% |
+17,800
| New | +$183K |
|
|
DAWN
94
DELISTED
Day One Biopharmaceuticals
DAWN
| $189K | 0.43% |
+20,277
| New | +$169K |
|
95
Opendoor
OPEN
$3.69B
| $179K | 0.41% |
+30,700
| New | +$220K |
|
96
Nomad Foods
NOMD
$1.64B
| $172K | 0.4% |
+13,786
| New | +$168K |
|
97
C3.ai
AI
$1.27B
| $159K | 0.36% |
11,800
-9,800
| -45% | -$156K |
|
98
Eos Energy Enterprises
EOSE
$1.23B
| $139K | 0.32% |
+12,100
| New | +$174K |
|
99
Itaú Unibanco
ITUB
$91.3B
| $137K | 0.31% |
+19,128
| New | +$136K |
|
|
CNH
100
CNH Industrial
CNH
$13.8B
| $136K | 0.31% |
+14,800
| New | +$148K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q4 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q4 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 580 positions worth $43.6M, down 91% from $490M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 28% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $442M in Q4 2025, closing 472 positions and reducing 27 holdings. Its most notable exit was Boston Scientific, an estimated $5.39M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 26% of assets, down from 27% a quarter earlier, followed by Healthcare and Communication Services.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in JPMorgan Chase worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q4 2025 buy was JPMorgan Chase: 4,000 shares worth $1.29M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to TSMC in Q4 2025, an estimated $1.13M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q4 2025 reduction was Meta Platforms (Facebook), cutting an estimated $4.54M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Boston Scientific in Q4 2025, selling an estimated $5.39M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 28% of its $43.6M portfolio in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 77 new positions and closed 472 in Q4 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 91% quarter-over-quarter to $43.6M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q4 2025, filed 17 Feb 2026.