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BCM

Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings

AUM $81.9M
1-Year Est. Return 26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow %
-33.56%
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352

Top Buys

Rank Stock Value
1
MSFT icon
Microsoft
MSFT
+$6.22M
2
META icon
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
+$6.1M
3
BSX icon
Boston Scientific
BSX
+$5.72M
4
ACN icon
Accenture
ACN
+$5.66M
5
EXPE icon
Expedia Group
EXPE
+$4.52M

Top Sells

Rank Stock Value
1
NKE icon
Nike
NKE
+$14.8M
2
ORCL icon
Oracle
ORCL
+$10.3M
3
DIS icon
Walt Disney
DIS
+$9.89M
4
AAPL icon
Apple
AAPL
+$9.74M
5
WFC icon
Wells Fargo
WFC
+$8.86M

Sector Composition

Rank Sector Weight
1 Technology 26.64%
2 Consumer Discretionary 16.12%
3 Healthcare 15.86%
4 Industrials 12.65%
5 Financials 6.86%
Name Market Value Portfolio Weight Shares or Principal Change
in Stake 		Capital Flow
SNOW icon
76
Snowflake
SNOW
$94.1B
$1.84M 0.38%
8,179
-36,000
-81% -$7.73M
KMB icon
77
Kimberly-Clark
KMB
$37B
$1.83M 0.37%
+14,713
New +$1.9M
AON icon
78
Aon
AON
$78.7B
$1.82M 0.37%
5,093
+2,900
+132% +$1.05M
ELV icon
79
Elevance Health
ELV
$82.1B
$1.81M 0.37%
+5,600
New +$1.74M
IQV icon
80
IQVIA
IQV
$35.4B
$1.79M 0.36%
+9,400
New +$1.71M
ON icon
81
ON Semiconductor
ON
$34B
$1.76M 0.36%
+35,778
New +$1.88M
RPRX icon
82
Royalty Pharma
RPRX
$26.1B
$1.76M 0.36%
+49,975
New +$1.81M
BFAM icon
83
Bright Horizons
BFAM
$4.14B
$1.76M 0.36%
+16,200
New +$1.88M
BNS icon
84
Scotiabank
BNS
$106B
$1.76M 0.36%
+27,190
New +$1.6M
VISN
85
Vistance Networks Inc
VISN
$2.66B
$1.73M 0.35%
+111,969
New +$1.45M
AEO icon
86
American Eagle Outfitters
AEO
$2.94B
$1.69M 0.35%
+98,886
New +$1.35M
VFC icon
87
VF Corp
VFC
$6.71B
$1.69M 0.35%
+117,100
New +$1.57M
M icon
88
Macy's
M
$6.52B
$1.67M 0.34%
92,900
+13,300
+17% +$188K
TEAM icon
89
Atlassian
TEAM
$24.5B
$1.65M 0.34%
10,348
+3,126
+43% +$566K
SAIA icon
90
Saia
SAIA
$11B
$1.65M 0.34%
5,519
+4,705
+578% +$1.42M
XLP icon
91
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLP
$14.3B
$1.65M 0.34%
21,058
+8,142
+63% +$658K
IONS icon
92
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
IONS
$9.26B
$1.62M 0.33%
24,715
+8,115
+49% +$396K
ONON icon
93
On Holding
ONON
$12.5B
$1.6M 0.33%
37,700
+21,927
+139% +$1.04M
PVH icon
94
PVH
PVH
$3.82B
$1.58M 0.32%
+18,900
New +$1.48M
COP icon
95
ConocoPhillips
COP
$142B
$1.56M 0.32%
16,500
-29,800
-64% -$2.82M
POOL icon
96
Pool Corp
POOL
$6.76B
$1.55M 0.32%
5,000
-300
-6% -$94K
RIVN icon
97
Rivian
RIVN
$24.2B
$1.52M 0.31%
+103,400
New +$1.39M
IBKR icon
98
Interactive Brokers
IBKR
$40.5B
$1.51M 0.31%
+21,900
New +$1.38M
CAG icon
99
Conagra Brands
CAG
$7.26B
$1.5M 0.31%
+81,900
New +$1.57M
G icon
100
Genpact
G
$5.54B
$1.43M 0.29%
34,021
+20,400
+150% +$897K
2 3
4
5 6

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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review

As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.

Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.

By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.

Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.

  • Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
  • Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.

Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.