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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76
Marathon Digital Holdings
MARA
$4.48B
| $2.22M | 0.35% |
141,300
-4,463
| -3% | -$63.9K |
|
77
Molina Healthcare
MOH
$10.6B
| $2.2M | 0.35% |
+7,400
| New | +$2.32M |
|
78
Toast
TOST
$17.9B
| $2.17M | 0.34% |
+49,100
| New | +$1.93M |
|
79
Pegasystems
PEGA
$4.78B
| $2.17M | 0.34% |
40,094
+24,500
| +157% | +$1.11M |
|
80
Credo Technology Group
CRDO
$38.8B
| $2.11M | 0.33% |
+22,760
| New | +$1.33M |
|
81
AeroVironment
AVAV
$7.81B
| $2.08M | 0.33% |
+7,313
| New | +$1.24M |
|
82
McCormick & Company Non-Voting
MKC
$13.6B
| $2.08M | 0.33% |
+27,457
| New | +$2.06M |
|
83
ExxonMobil
XOM
$642B
| $2.06M | 0.33% |
19,100
+4,400
| +30% | +$470K |
|
84
HealthEquity
HQY
$8.3B
| $2.04M | 0.32% |
+19,500
| New | +$1.85M |
|
85
Regions Financial
RF
$26.2B
| $2.03M | 0.32% |
+86,100
| New | +$1.82M |
|
86
Comcast
CMCSA
$81.9B
| $2.02M | 0.32% |
+56,500
| New | +$1.95M |
|
87
Kroger
KR
$35.6B
| $1.97M | 0.31% |
+27,500
| New | +$1.9M |
|
88
Gen Digital
GEN
$16.2B
| $1.97M | 0.31% |
+67,000
| New | +$1.83M |
|
|
PPL
89
PPL Corp
PPL
$27.1B
| $1.95M | 0.31% |
+57,600
| New | +$2M |
|
90
Box
BOX
$4.22B
| $1.95M | 0.31% |
+57,061
| New | +$1.87M |
|
91
NextEra Energy
NEE
$185B
| $1.94M | 0.31% |
+28,000
| New | +$1.94M |
|
92
Intuit
INTU
$83.7B
| $1.93M | 0.31% |
2,453
-6,847
| -74% | -$4.63M |
|
93
TD Synnex
SNX
$19.5B
| $1.92M | 0.3% |
+14,138
| New | +$1.66M |
|
|
AZEK
94
DELISTED
The AZEK Co
AZEK
| $1.91M | 0.3% |
+35,200
| New | +$1.76M |
|
95
NetEase
NTES
$79.4B
| $1.91M | 0.3% |
+14,215
| New | +$1.63M |
|
96
Etsy
ETSY
$7.9B
| $1.9M | 0.3% |
+37,800
| New | +$1.88M |
|
97
PG&E
PCG
$47.1B
| $1.9M | 0.3% |
+136,000
| New | +$2.21M |
|
98
DraftKings
DKNG
$12.1B
| $1.88M | 0.3% |
+43,900
| New | +$1.57M |
|
99
UiPath
PATH
$6.03B
| $1.85M | 0.29% |
144,500
+79,000
| +121% | +$948K |
|
100
Casey's General Stores
CASY
$31.9B
| $1.81M | 0.29% |
+3,544
| New | +$1.63M |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.