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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+18.4%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$633M
AUM Growth
+$28.6M
(+4.7%)
Cap. Flow
-$33.7M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-5.32%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
16.42%
Holding
930
New
364
Increased
66
Reduced
78
Closed
421
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$10.6M |
| 2 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$9.91M |
| 3 |
PepsiCo
PEP
|
+$7.84M |
| 4 |
MongoDB
MDB
|
+$7.49M |
| 5 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$7.36M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cisco
CSCO
|
+$13.6M |
| 2 |
Advanced Micro Devices
AMD
|
+$9.96M |
| 3 |
Coca-Cola
KO
|
+$8.1M |
| 4 |
SLB Ltd
SLB
|
+$7.99M |
| 5 |
Workday
WDAY
|
+$6.98M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 25.15% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 15.1% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 13.9% |
| 4 | Industrials | 9.92% |
| 5 | Financials | 8.17% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
901
Winnebago Industries
WGO
$879M
| – | – |
-8,556
| Closed | -$295K |
|
902
GeneDx Holdings
WGS
$1.8B
| – | – |
-2,600
| Closed | -$230K |
|
903
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts
WH
$5.58B
| – | – |
-2,680
| Closed | -$243K |
|
904
Westlake Corp
WLK
$9.27B
| – | – |
-2,841
| Closed | -$284K |
|
905
Petco
WOOF
$777M
| – | – |
-43,700
| Closed | -$133K |
|
906
WisdomTree
WT
$3.01B
| – | – |
-13,500
| Closed | -$120K |
|
907
Weyerhaeuser
WY
$17.2B
| – | – |
-9,300
| Closed | -$272K |
|
|
X
908
DELISTED
US Steel
X
| – | – |
-15,100
| Closed | -$638K |
|
909
Xeris Biopharma Holdings
XERS
$1.42B
| – | – |
-59,300
| Closed | -$326K |
|
910
Xometry
XMTR
$4.75B
| – | – |
-14,325
| Closed | -$357K |
|
911
XP
XP
$8.65B
| – | – |
-33,700
| Closed | -$463K |
|
912
Expro Ltd
XPRO
$1.78B
| – | – |
-17,893
| Closed | -$178K |
|
913
State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF
XRT
$448M
| – | – |
-6,400
| Closed | -$442K |
|
914
Yelp
YELP
$1.45B
| – | – |
-5,520
| Closed | -$204K |
|
|
YMAB
915
DELISTED
Y-mAbs Therapeutics
YMAB
| – | – |
-14,382
| Closed | -$63.7K |
|
916
Full Truck Alliance
YMM
$9.66B
| – | – |
-48,700
| Closed | -$622K |
|
917
Yum! Brands
YUM
$40.7B
| – | – |
-18,600
| Closed | -$2.93M |
|
|
GTM
918
ZoomInfo Technologies
GTM
$908M
| – | – |
-43,400
| Closed | -$434K |
|
919
Zions Bancorporation
ZION
$10B
| – | – |
-4,338
| Closed | -$216K |
|
920
Zoetis
ZTS
$32.2B
| – | – |
-1,412
| Closed | -$232K |
|
|
DAY
921
DELISTED
Dayforce
DAY
| – | – |
-18,500
| Closed | -$1.08M |
|
|
SERV
922
Serve Robotics
SERV
$407M
| – | – |
-28,271
| Closed | -$163K |
|
923
Rubrik
RBRK
$15.4B
| – | – |
-21,881
| Closed | -$1.33M |
|
|
CNH
924
CNH Industrial
CNH
$13.7B
| – | – |
-21,000
| Closed | -$258K |
|
|
AIOT
925
PowerFleet Inc
AIOT
$515M
| – | – |
-11,100
| Closed | -$60.9K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q2 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q2 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 930 positions worth $633M, up 4.7% from $604M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 16% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $33.7M in Q2 2025, closing 421 positions and reducing 78 holdings. Its most notable exit was Cisco, an estimated $13.6M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 25% of assets, down from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Wells Fargo worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q2 2025 buy was Wells Fargo: 137,400 shares worth $11M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Apple in Q2 2025, an estimated $10.6M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q2 2025 reduction was Philip Morris, cutting an estimated $5.55M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Cisco in Q2 2025, selling an estimated $13.6M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 16% of its $633M portfolio in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 364 new positions and closed 421 in Q2 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value rose 4.7% quarter-over-quarter to $633M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q2 2025, filed 14 Aug 2025.