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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
826
Waste Management
WM
$95.5B
| – | – |
-1,600
| Closed | -$366K |
|
827
Walmart Inc
WMT
$889B
| – | – |
-26,079
| Closed | -$2.55M |
|
828
Williams-Sonoma
WSM
$27.6B
| – | – |
-10,700
| Closed | -$1.75M |
|
829
West Pharmaceutical
WST
$23.3B
| – | – |
-5,900
| Closed | -$1.29M |
|
830
Woodward
WWD
$25B
| – | – |
-5,300
| Closed | -$1.3M |
|
831
Wolverine World Wide
WWW
$1.56B
| – | – |
-16,572
| Closed | -$300K |
|
832
Wynn Resorts
WYNN
$10.3B
| – | – |
-24,300
| Closed | -$2.28M |
|
833
Xcel Energy
XEL
$50.4B
| – | – |
-5,500
| Closed | -$375K |
|
834
State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLB
$8.66B
| – | – |
-7,038
| Closed | -$309K |
|
835
XPEL
XPEL
$1.18B
| – | – |
-8,800
| Closed | -$316K |
|
836
XPeng
XPEV
$12.2B
| – | – |
-33,300
| Closed | -$595K |
|
837
XPO
XPO
$24.4B
| – | – |
-8,500
| Closed | -$1.07M |
|
838
Yeti Holdings
YETI
$3.86B
| – | – |
-15,700
| Closed | -$495K |
|
839
Zillow
Z
$7.32B
| – | – |
-4,300
| Closed | -$301K |
|
840
Zebra Technologies
ZBRA
$12.6B
| – | – |
-9,200
| Closed | -$2.84M |
|
841
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services
ZIM
$2.96B
| – | – |
-27,273
| Closed | -$439K |
|
842
Zscaler
ZS
$23.8B
| – | – |
-1,570
| Closed | -$493K |
|
843
Amer Sports
AS
$20.5B
| – | – |
-36,863
| Closed | -$1.43M |
|
844
United Parks & Resorts
PRKS
$2.12B
| – | – |
-11,339
| Closed | -$535K |
|
845
Astera Labs
ALAB
$48.4B
| – | – |
-6,312
| Closed | -$571K |
|
846
Reddit
RDDT
$34.5B
| – | – |
-16,000
| Closed | -$2.41M |
|
847
Trump Media & Technology Group
DJT
$2.65B
| – | – |
-52,100
| Closed | -$940K |
|
848
Solventum
SOLV
$13.9B
| – | – |
-4,773
| Closed | -$362K |
|
|
SW
849
Smurfit Westrock
SW
$26.3B
| – | – |
-7,200
| Closed | -$311K |
|
|
EXE
850
Expand Energy Corp
EXE
$21.7B
| – | – |
-2,100
| Closed | -$246K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.