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BCM
Bayesian Capital Management Portfolio holdings
AUM
$81.9M
1-Year Est. Return
26.59%
This Fund
S&P 500
This Quarter
Est. Return
+8.82%
1 Year Est. Return
+26.59%
3 Year Est. Return
+112.98%
5 Year Est. Return
+129.77%
10 Year Est. Return
+1,146.62%
AUM
$490M
AUM Growth
-$143M
(-23%)
Cap. Flow
-$164M
Cap. Flow
% of AUM
-33.56%
Top 10 Holdings %
Top 10 Hldgs %
10.5%
Holding
855
New
346
Increased
61
Reduced
95
Closed
352
Top Buys
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Microsoft
MSFT
|
+$6.22M |
| 2 |
Meta Platforms (Facebook)
META
|
+$6.1M |
| 3 |
Boston Scientific
BSX
|
+$5.72M |
| 4 |
Accenture
ACN
|
+$5.66M |
| 5 |
Expedia Group
EXPE
|
+$4.52M |
Top Sells
| Rank | Stock | Value |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nike
NKE
|
+$14.8M |
| 2 |
Oracle
ORCL
|
+$10.3M |
| 3 |
Walt Disney
DIS
|
+$9.89M |
| 4 |
Apple
AAPL
|
+$9.74M |
| 5 |
Wells Fargo
WFC
|
+$8.86M |
Sector Composition
| Rank | Sector | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Technology | 26.64% |
| 2 | Consumer Discretionary | 16.12% |
| 3 | Healthcare | 15.86% |
| 4 | Industrials | 12.65% |
| 5 | Financials | 6.86% |
| Name | Market Value | Portfolio Weight | Shares or Principal |
Change in Stake | Capital Flow | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
801
Toast
TOST
$17.9B
| – | – |
-49,100
| Closed | -$2.17M |
|
802
Tronox
TROX
$973M
| – | – |
-50,500
| Closed | -$256K |
|
803
TC Energy
TRP
$71.2B
| – | – |
-7,223
| Closed | -$352K |
|
804
Trupanion
TRUP
$1.08B
| – | – |
-6,666
| Closed | -$369K |
|
805
Tesla
TSLA
$1.22T
| – | – |
-2,802
| Closed | -$890K |
|
806
Trade Desk
TTD
$8.41B
| – | – |
-8,212
| Closed | -$591K |
|
807
Tetra Tech
TTEK
$8.28B
| – | – |
-33,100
| Closed | -$1.19M |
|
808
Telus
TU
$16.2B
| – | – |
-33,400
| Closed | -$536K |
|
809
Twist Bioscience
TWST
$5.39B
| – | – |
-6,868
| Closed | -$253K |
|
810
Texas Instruments
TXN
$255B
| – | – |
-2,700
| Closed | -$561K |
|
811
Under Armour Class C
UA
$2.95B
| – | – |
-56,100
| Closed | -$364K |
|
812
Under Armour
UAA
$3.02B
| – | – |
-221,800
| Closed | -$1.51M |
|
813
Ulta Beauty
ULTA
$20.7B
| – | – |
-812
| Closed | -$380K |
|
814
United Parcel Service
UPS
$96B
| – | – |
-40,476
| Closed | -$4.09M |
|
815
Urban Outfitters
URBN
$6.22B
| – | – |
-40,100
| Closed | -$2.91M |
|
816
Universal Technical Institute
UTI
$2.12B
| – | – |
-11,010
| Closed | -$373K |
|
817
Marriott Vacations Worldwide
VAC
$3.4B
| – | – |
-8,044
| Closed | -$582K |
|
818
Veeva Systems
VEEV
$31.6B
| – | – |
-26,597
| Closed | -$7.66M |
|
819
Valero Energy
VLO
$90.5B
| – | – |
-3,234
| Closed | -$435K |
|
820
Vulcan Materials
VMC
$36.9B
| – | – |
-6,200
| Closed | -$1.62M |
|
821
Vontier
VNT
$4.48B
| – | – |
-18,500
| Closed | -$683K |
|
822
Verisk Analytics
VRSK
$27.1B
| – | – |
-2,451
| Closed | -$763K |
|
823
Viasat
VSAT
$10.2B
| – | – |
-12,747
| Closed | -$186K |
|
824
Viatris
VTRS
$20.5B
| – | – |
-23,600
| Closed | -$211K |
|
825
Whirlpool
WHR
$2.44B
| – | – |
-4,149
| Closed | -$421K |
|
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Bayesian Capital Management's Q3 2025 Portfolio in Review
As of Q3 2025, Bayesian Capital Management held 855 positions worth $490M, down 23% from $633M the previous quarter. Its ten largest holdings account for 10% of the portfolio.
Bayesian Capital Management withdrew a net $164M in Q3 2025, closing 352 positions and reducing 95 holdings. Its most notable exit was Nike, an estimated $14.8M position sold in full.
By sector, the portfolio is most concentrated in Technology at 27% of assets, up from 25% a quarter earlier, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Healthcare.
Against the trend, Bayesian Capital Management opened a new position in Microsoft worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's largest Q3 2025 buy was Microsoft: 12,200 shares worth $6.32M.
- Bayesian Capital Management added most to Idexx Laboratories in Q3 2025, an estimated $3.81M increase.
- Bayesian Capital Management's biggest Q3 2025 reduction was Walt Disney, cutting an estimated $9.89M.
- Bayesian Capital Management fully exited Nike in Q3 2025, selling an estimated $14.8M.
- Bayesian Capital Management's ten largest holdings make up 10% of its $490M portfolio in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management opened 346 new positions and closed 352 in Q3 2025.
- Bayesian Capital Management's portfolio value fell 23% quarter-over-quarter to $490M.
Based on Bayesian Capital Management's 13F filing for Q3 2025, filed 14 Nov 2025.